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Website tracks H1N1

metalslug

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http://www.straitstimes.com/Breaking+News/Singapore/Story/STIStory_408239.html

Website tracks H1N1
It also predicts the likely number of such infections here in the near future
By Debbie Yong

p4-1.jpg

The website was set up by (clockwise from left) Assistant Professor Vernon Lee at NUS' Centre for Health Sciences Research; Tan Tock Seng Hospital's Communicable Disease Centre (CDC) research analyst Jimmy Ong; CDC epidemiologist Mark Chen; National University Health System's head of Family Medicine Goh Lee Gan and NUS statistics and applied probability assistant professor Alex Cook. -- ST PHOTO: CAROLINE CHIA

KEEPING track of the H1N1 outbreak here is now just a click of the mouse away.

3 more H1N1 patients in ICU
Three more people were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) yesterday, said the Ministry of Health.



The first case is a 47-year-old Malay man with a medical history of myasthenia gravis with a thymic tumour. He was admitted to National University Hospital's isolation ward on Thursday for pneumonia after three days of fever and cough.

... more
A group of five researchers from the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Tan Tock Seng Hospital (TTSH) has set up a website to monitor and predict the number of influenza- like illnesses.

According to a Ministry of Health (MOH) update last Tuesday, 53 per cent of samples taken from patients with influenza- like illnesses are H1N1-positive.

'It's harder to get H1N1 information and it can take a bit of time. Because the epidemic is already in full swing, this is a good alternative to track as an indicator of how the epidemic is progressing,' said Dr Alex Cook, one of the researchers.

He is an assistant professor at the NUS department of statistics and applied probability.

The website (www.stat.nus. edu.sg/staff/alexcook/flu/flu.html) has four graphs.

They chart the estimated average number of cases per family doctor, the number of predicted cases per family doctor as well as the predicted number of patients seeking treatment and the predicted total number of infected people.

'It's like watching the stock exchange; people can now watch, in real time, a pandemic's development,' said Associate Professor Goh Lee Gan, head of the Family Medicine Division in the National University Health System and the project's leader.

The data is collected daily from 21 family doctors islandwide who heard of the project by word-of-mouth. This was done from June 25 and the website was put up a week later.

The doctors report via phone, e-mail or fax to a central data-collection point manned by Mr Jimmy Ong, a research analyst at TTSH's Communicable Disease Centre (CDC).

Read the full story in The Sunday Times today.

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