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Serious US having 1970s style stagflation but the fed will not be able to do anything.

hbk75

Alfrescian
Loyal
They have so much debts now comparing to the 70s. Oil prices upwards and food going up due to the wheat export bans and fertilizer ban.

Now their interest is zero and inflation 10-15%. Is this the end of amdk?
 

Boliao

Alfrescian
Loyal
US will be okay. They are experiencing inflation, not stagflation (yet) and unlikely to do so. With instability in Europe, some money have moved to China instead but majority will still flow back to US. They are trying to stir shit in Asia and if they are successful like they are in Europe, US will experience economic boom instead.

Fed just indicated they will raise interest by 0.25% and will likely do at least 3 more this year. If things turn out right, many 5-6 or larger increase in the next 3. Hold US dollar, especially dividend paying CEF.
 

Boliao

Alfrescian
Loyal
What happened to US shale oil.it used to be a natural hedge against oil going above usd80.

oil will come down.. follow the simple rule; buy when WTI is below 60 and sell when it is above 90. I've been accumulating oil when it was 42 ~ 64 and have recently cleared some positions. Will sell the rest when it drops close to 100
 
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