The LKY Swing - Returns with a Vengeance!!!

[PTADER]

http://www.sammyboy.com/showthread.php?211140-The-GE-Gold-Cup-Thread&p=2252365#post2252365

The LKY Swing - 2015 Polling Results

Week ending 08 August 2015

Current polling points to a 5.3% swing towards the PAP if elections are held now. However, this swing, henceforth to be called the "LKY Swing", is not uniform, particularly in opposition held wards. Results of particular significance are:

Aljunied GRC

Polling in Aljunied GRC shows a hardening of attitudes, especially by Indian and particularly by Malay voters, against the WP. Current polling indicates a swing of 7.6% against the WP and towards the PAP. As the WP secured 54.72% of the votes in the 2011 election, this translates to a return of Aljunied to the PAP if elections are held now.

Hougang SMC

Polling in Hougang indicates a smaller swing of 4.2% against the WP and towards the PAP. As the WP secured 64.8% in the 2011 election and 62.08% in the 2012 by-election, this translates to the WP comfortably retaining its Hougang stronghold if elections are held now.

Potong Pasir

Polling in Potong Pasir indicates a swing of 5.7% towards the PAP. As the SPP secured 49.64% in the 2011 election, this translates to the PAP comfortably retaining Potong Pasir if elections are held now.

More to come...

 

[PTADER]

The LKY swing was obvious last month, dissipated about a week before the election but has return with a vengeance on polling day.

With this very strong swing, there's a very strong chance that Aljunied will be lost as well. If so, will PEH be the new SG of the Workers Party?

 

[hairylee]

It is not the LKY swing. It is the way the opposition fought this election.
Somehow they think the ground is sweet for them.

 

[PTADER]

Contrary to the usual protestations, the election has been relatively fair and clean.

Congrats to the PAP.

 

[sense]

The LKY swing was obvious last month, dissipated about a week before the election but has return with a vengeance on polling day.

With this very strong swing, there's a very strong chance that Aljunied will be lost as well. If so, will PEH be the new SG of the Workers Party?

The AHPETC mess is even more obvious...

 

[PTADER]

It is not the LKY swing. It is the way the opposition fought this election.
Somehow they think the ground is sweet for them.

The blogosphere tends to underestimate LKY and his influence, dead or alive.

I agree that the opposition thought that the ground was sweet especially with large crowds at their rallies. Harbans Singh of the United People's Front used to draw large crowds in the 70s at UPF rallies for the entertainment value he provided.

 

[zeebjii]

The AHPETC mess is even more obvious...

PTADER and Papsmearer are correct. WP's mousey performance in parliament didn't help at all.

 

[PTADER]

PTADER and Papsmearer are correct. WP's mousey performance in parliament didn't help at all.

The problem is that the opposition supporters hear what they want to hear. So when frank views are given, they refuse to listen and instead vehemently criticise views like mine as coming from "PAP shills". This effectively sends a message to the WP that its MPs are doing okay when the WP supporters should be giving them a kick in their arses and sending them a no-nonsense message that their lacklustre performance is unacceptable to their supporters.