The STI will bounce Friday after Dow jumped 400 plus points.
But I warn and I quote Phillip Research:
It is highly unlikely that this bounce is a bottom. We argue that this Credit Crisis is more severe than the Asian Financial Crisis and we estimate the severity and duration of the decline to be at least equal that of 1997. If history is a good reference point, the 1997 benchmark would place at least another 7 months left before we see any sustainable rally and a final STI reading in the 1400 to 1500 region.
Extreme oversold conditions occur during sharp sell offs, but in the context of a major downtrend, such mean reversions are usually short-term moves where the market takes a breather before continuing the trend. We advise readers to avoid being unduly bullish during the minor up moves that will occur during this downtrend in the STI.
But I warn and I quote Phillip Research:
It is highly unlikely that this bounce is a bottom. We argue that this Credit Crisis is more severe than the Asian Financial Crisis and we estimate the severity and duration of the decline to be at least equal that of 1997. If history is a good reference point, the 1997 benchmark would place at least another 7 months left before we see any sustainable rally and a final STI reading in the 1400 to 1500 region.
Extreme oversold conditions occur during sharp sell offs, but in the context of a major downtrend, such mean reversions are usually short-term moves where the market takes a breather before continuing the trend. We advise readers to avoid being unduly bullish during the minor up moves that will occur during this downtrend in the STI.