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Singapore must prepare for economic slowdown: PM Lee

krafty

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Country better placed than most others to tackle twin challenges of globalisation and technology advances

Singapore

WITH the global economy facing cyclical headwinds, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has warned that Singapore must brace itself to handle a possible downturn.

At a dinner organised by the labour movement on Monday, he spoke of how the United States - the world's largest economy - was soft, while Europe was in a stagnant state and China was experiencing a slowdown of its own.

Here in Singapore, exports are flat and port operator PSA is handling fewer containers, he said. Gross domestic product expanded just 1.4 per cent year on year in the three months ended September, slowing from 2 per cent growth in the June quarter.

"We have to be prepared for a slowdown, and possibly a downturn," Mr Lee told some 1,100 unionists, business leaders and overseas guests at the opening dinner of the National Trades Union Congress' (NTUC) national delegates conference.

Among those in attendance at the Orchid Country Club were Deputy Prime Minister Teo Chee Hean, Manpower Minister Lim Swee Say, labour chief Chan Chun Sing and visiting International Labour Organization director-general Guy Ryder.

In a 40-minute speech, the prime minister outlined two main challenges facing the world today. He cited globalisation, which brings the benefits of a worldwide division of labour but also puts workers under pressure as they have to compete with those from other countries.

Advances in technology, meanwhile, is also disrupting industries and displacing workers at all levels, be they blue-collar workers in the factories or professionals such as lawyers and doctors.

These trends are putting pressure on wages and causing them to stagnate, said Mr Lee, adding that old jobs were being lost as whole industries and companies experience changes.

"Skills become obsolete faster than before. New jobs come in but they take time, and to learn new skills takes time. For workers to change jobs and industries, fit into a new niche and become productive again, and earn the same as before but hopefully more, it's not always so easy, especially for older workers."

He made the point that Singapore, a developed economy, could not afford to resist globalisation or hold back the progress of technology.

"If we try to do that, our economy will stagnate, our workers will become uncompetitive, and Singapore will be left behind," he warned.

The way forward for the Republic must be to "ride the wave" and use the power of free markets to its advantage.

Mr Lee stressed that the Singapore government had already played a major role in this effort. The state has created the basic conditions for markets to operate properly, set the rules and helped mitigate the excesses and negative effects of a market system.

He shared how Singapore had strengthened the country's social safety nets, rolled out a progressive wage model and will be implementing new initiatives such as MediShield Life and Silver Support soon.

The government is also upgrading the economy to keep businesses and workers competitive, said Mr Lee. To drive this effort, a new committee on the future economy, led by Finance Minister Heng Swee Keat, will review Singapore's economic strategies.

"We know our direction, (which is) to improve productivity so that we can sustain higher wages for all. But we need to review specific measures - how to help our domestic sectors grow, how to attract investments and help companies develop new markets, and how to make best use of the foreign workers and talent that we need in Singapore," he said.

Overall, Singapore is in a better position than most other countries to tackle the tough challenges ahead. Mr Lee highlighted the Republic's strengths such as a well-educated population, an ethos that is outward-looking, a tech-savvy society and competent unions.

The prime minister also spent time talking about Singapore's unique tripartism model, a "relationship of trust" among the three parties that has been built up over decades.

"Over the last 50 years, we've nurtured a special model of tripartism that enabled our people to excel, our businesses to grow, and our nation to thrive. It's been a major ingredient of our success and it comes down to having good (tripartite) leaders."

In a changing environment, Mr Lee said, tripartism remained the right formula to take Singapore into the next phase of its development.

He urged each of the tripartite partners to update their approach. The government will develop new economic policies, and employers have to both ensure that companies remain viable and continue to seize new business opportunities.

On their part, the unions have to stay relevant to a new generation of members in a new economy, and encourage workers to continually improve themselves.

Separately, with the NTUC ready to elect a new 21-member central committee via secret ballot on Thursday, the third and final day of its national delegates conference, Mr Lee urged the unions to give a strong mandate to their new leadership to take the labour movement forward.

Chan Chun Sing became the new NTUC secretary-general in May this year, taking over from Lim Swee Say. Among those stepping down is NTUC president Diana Chia, who is moving on after nearly four years in that position.

About 800 union delegates and observers - who represent the 60 NTUC-affiliated unions and one association - are taking part in this week's conference, which is held once every four years.
 
This proves once and for all that the PAP is the best.
 
Looks like he just found out and is giving us advance warning.

What's next? pay cuts for all and opening our doors to a more varied workforce to stay competitive?

Suck it up singos.
 
Those who are resistant to change will be affected most....as bruce lee said it "you must be shapeless and formless like water"
 
Wwhhatttt???

We pay this fella multiples times salary of Obama, and the highest salary in the stratosphere and he telling the people to brace for tough times?

He is paid so highly to pre-empt and avoid such situations. No?

Why don't the taxpayers pay peanuts to a monkey and be told the same thing? Cheaper and without the craps of tripartite, open door policies, country belongs to everybody.......craps.
 
Hi there

1. Ah pink really needs to change its tune leh.
2. What's new pus :kma:
 
If remove the alcohol ban at Little India and Geylang, and throw in a few more license for massage parlour and eating house, the whole street would be alive with buzz of activity ;)
 
sinkies..you go and prepare all the shits you want.. ahahhaha..pitiful , can only revolved around sinkieland..

Thai market is so big, why get screwed in a tiny island with a fucked up govt and PM.
 
Downturn? No prob... let's all do the downturn dance...

 
To the 70%: 'Gotcha!'

Wwhhatttt???

We pay this fella multiples times salary of Obama, and the highest salary in the stratosphere and he telling the people to brace for tough times?

He is paid so highly to pre-empt and avoid such situations. No?

Why don't the taxpayers pay peanuts to a monkey and be told the same thing? Cheaper and without the craps of tripartite, open door policies, country belongs to everybody.......craps.
 
i hope singapore economy stall and fall into the cracks and stay stagnant for 2 and a half decades like japan.that will teach u to grow ur economy on cheap steriods.
 
When the economy was good, lots of sinkees get replaced by Ah Nehs and Pinoys.
Now that it is getting worse, lagi more sinkees get replaced by them.
 
brilliant. get so many people into mortgage debts then tell u economy getting bad and ready to be retrenched.
 
When the economy was good, lots of sinkees get replaced by Ah Nehs and Pinoys.
Now that it is getting worse, lagi more sinkees get replaced by them.

No. We need more foreigners, to create good jobs for us. Nowadays on the road very hard to get flag downs you know.
 
[
The heart of the economic disorder is a world financial system that has gone rogue............The emergence of a global banking system means central banks are much less able to monitor and control what is going on. ..cash generated out of nothing can be lent in countries where the economic prospects look superficially good. This provokes floods of credit.....

....... Property prices rise. Companies and households grow overconfident about their prospects and borrow freely. Economies surge.....until something – a collapse in property or commodity prices – unravels the whole process.......

Andy Haldane, Bank of England chief economist, describes the unfolding pattern of events as a three-part crisis. Act one was in 2007-08 in Britain and the US. Buoyed for the previous decade by absurdly high inflows of globally generated credit that created false booms, they suddenly found their overconfident banks had wildly lent too much. Collateral behind newfangled derivatives was worthless. Money flooded out, leaving Britain’s banking system bust, to be bailed out by more than £1tn of liquidity and special injections of public capital.

Act two was in Europe in 2011-12, when it became obvious that the lending had been made on the incorrect assumption that all eurozone countries were equal. Again, money flooded out and Europe only just held the line with extraordinary printing of money by the European Central Bank and tough belt-tightening measures in overborrowed countries such as Portugal, Greece and Ireland. It might have been unfair, but it worked.

Now act three is beginning, but in countries much less able to devise measures to stop financial contagion and whose banks are more precarious. For global finance next flooded the so-called emerging market economies (EMEs), countries such as Turkey, Brazil, Malaysia, China, all riding high on sky-high commodity prices as the China boom, itself fuelled by wild lending, seemed never-ending. China manufactured more cement from 2010-13 than the US had produced over the entire 20th century. It could not last and so it is proving.China’s banks are, in effect, bust:........crisis will spawn a crisis of legitimacy for the deeply corrupt communist party. Commodity prices have crashed.


Money is flooding out of the EMEs, leaving overborrowed companies, indebted households and stricken banks, but EMEs do not have institutions such as the Federal Reserve or European Central Bank to knock up rescue packages. Yet these nations now account for more than half of global GDP. Small wonder the IMF is worried.
http://www.theguardian.com/commenti...s-emerging-economies-china-slowdown-recession

Will Hutton,principal of Hertford College, Oxford, believes its the banking system and unbridled/uncontrolled expansion in mainly China (and some countries like Brazil /Malaysia )that is the culprit.

Are the 70% aware that GIC/Temasek are amongst the biggest investors in the global banking system, in China and Malaysia and our shipyards are heavily exposed to Brazil?
 
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After importing 2 million cheaper better faster u telling me we going to have a slowdown?cheaper better faster no longer cheap better or fast enough?
 
After importing 2 million cheaper better faster u telling me we going to have a slowdown?cheaper better faster no longer cheap better or fast enough?

We stopped. That's why. We need another 2 million before 2020.
 
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