Dr Verolino said: “Underwater volcanoes are often overlooked because they were not thought of as an imminent threat. But as the Tonga eruption showed, we saw the potential of these kinds of volcanoes. We need to assess and create different scenarios to see the possible effects.”
In ongoing research, Dr Verolino has done simulations to show how mega eruptions by KW-23612, for example, can lead to far-reaching tsunamis across South-east Asia.
Tsunamis of such scale are known as meteotsunamis, caused by shock waves or atmospheric disturbances.
This was last seen after the Tonga explosion, when air moved away from the volcano fast. This big movement of air pushed water away, setting off the far-reaching tsunamis.
Dr Verolino’s simulations showed that tsunami waves of a few centimetres can reach Singapore’s south or south-east coast, but the study has not yet been published and the results are being validated.
“Even centimetric tsunami waves can form strong currents near Singapore, affecting boat traffic, beach localities, and can lead to coastal flooding... For tsunamis coming from the South China Sea, the east will be first exposed, where Changi is,” he noted.
Beyond tsunami waves, threats to Singapore’s connectivity is another risk if subsea cables are damaged by volcanic activity.
Ms Nadya Melic, vice-president for product at GCX that invests in building subsea cables, said: “While Singapore is deemed a more protected location... any fault affecting an end-to-end cable segment could also affect connectivity on a certain segment of a cable that is directly linked into Singapore... Traffic can be redirected onto another system.”
Beyond threats from the South China Sea, Dr Verolino noted that little is known about the undersea features of the Sunda Shelf, a continental extension on which sit Bali, Borneo, Java and Sumatra. Satellite data cannot tell much, and no eruptions were recorded.
“If there are other volcanoes in this area, which is closer to Singapore, we don’t know yet,” he said.
Dr Verolino is hoping that his research on the more than 460 volcanoes will spur more deep-sea exploration into these enigmatic seamounts.
“We wanted to help narrow down the search of notable volcanoes before an eruption. Identify a few volcanoes of interest to propose projects for funding and exploration.”