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Send in the Clowns - Alex Au

Goh Meng Seng

Alfrescian (InfP) [Comp]
Generous Asset
The last few days, the print edition of the Straits Times filled me with despair. Every day, pages and pages were devoted to a book (titled Men in White) that they recently published about the People's Action Party (PAP). More incessant hardsell one could barely imagine. The overkill only served to remind me of the newspaper's decades-long devotion to acting as an apologist for the PAP government, but now in the twilight of Lee Kuan Yew's years, it also comes across as a somewhat desperate attempt to carve in stone the central role of the PAP in the national narrative.

The boast is that this book treats Lee's opponents within the PAP fairly. This is a boast borne of necessity. A new generation of Singaporeans will not bother with any history that does not. But whether that boast is supported by the actual writing, I shall leave it to others, more knowledgeable about history, to assess.

Already though, the excerpts published so far in the Straits Times, suggest that anyone yearning for a more radical reading of history may be disappointed. The book's so-called "fair treatment" may be no more than cosmetic. Yet, the thing about giving an inch is that one can sometimes spy the missing mile.

For example, in the telling of the 1961 split when a faction left to form the Barisan Socialis, the excerpts indicate that those who left did so because they felt extremely uncomfortable with Lee's headlong rush into Malaysia.




What has been revealed is that Lee was convinced that the leftwing of the PAP had pro-communist sympathies, and that they could potentially carry the electorate. Lee didn't feel he was strong enough to stop the leftist tide. Instead he appealed to foreign powers to intervene to save him and his ideals. This was the true motive behind the idea of Malaysia. A radical reading of history could therefore say: This man sold Singapore out in order to stop his opponents from taking Singapore in the direction he disagreed with. In most other countries, such a leader would be called a traitor.

Then, bolstered by the foreign power, Lee launched Operation Coldstore, detaining without trial large numbers of the opposition, in order that they could not impede the consolidation of his (foreign-supported) power, and ending Singapore's brief fling with a two-party system. In most other countries, such a politician would be called unspeakable names.

Karma struck back unusually soon. The foreign power decided it really didn't need Lee and tried instead to take Singapore for itself. It started to undermine Lee by raising the spectre of racial conflict. So Lee was played out. Such a politician is normally lampooned as a fool.

Eventually, to save his own skin, Lee pulled Singapore out of the federation. In effect, the 1961 naysayers in the PAP were proven right when they said the terms of merger were lousy and not acceptable.

So, who was the reckless one who played Russian Roulette with Singapore's future? Bear in mind too, the then Prime Minister of Malaya, Tunku Abdul Rahman, had no interest in the idea of Malaysia; it was Lee who kept selling the idea to him and the British by constantly referring to the communist threat, a threat which, by 1960, had ended. The Malayan Emergency ceased that year, with the remnants of the communist guerillas driven into Southern Thailand.

If Malaya had not expanded into Malaysia, what would the British have done with Sarawak, Brunei and North Borneo? Might the British have decided instead to create a bigger Singapore incorporating these territories? If so, might today's Singapore therefore have more strategic space than it now has? In other words, are we worse off now after that reckless and misguided adventure into Malaysia?

In the foregoing, I have deliberate overstated an interpretation of history, playing a kind of devil's advocate to make a point: A truly incisive look at history will require us to conduct an analysis as critical as that. That, to me, is what I would understand by "fair treatment".

However, as most Singaporeans will know, such a critical analysis is not yet possible. For now, however critical a book pretends to be, Lee must emerge a hero, not traitor, fool or &%^*#$@)%(^. At best, we can only be permitted the kind of "fair treatment" the new book, so loudly trumpetted by the Straits Times, displays.

* * * * *


Despair was leavened with a bit of hope Saturday (5 September 2009). The same newspaper finally addressed the question that people have asked for years: What if a rogue government sprang from the bosom of the PAP?

PAP leaders always assumed that if the opposition were to form the government, it would be a weak one which would ruin the country. The institutional safeguards they designed were supposed to prevent the emergence of a rogue government.

But what if the rogue government sprang from the bosom of the PAP itself? Was it inconceivable that a good PAP government might turn rotten mid-term or that a good prime minister could succumb to temptations along the way?

-- Straits Times, 5 Sept 2009, What if a rogue govt sprang from the bosom of the PAP?

The newspaper noted that of all the scenarios for Singapore's future, this is about the scariest, and yet, I would add, it is also one of the most likely. It is scarier than the scenario of an opposition party winning a general election, forming a new government and then making a hash of things, because this latter scenario would imply that there are competitive elections, which in turn means there is an avenue for the people to throw out the incompetents before long. In saying this, I must caution readers not to fall into the unthinking association that an opposition-led government will surely be a bad one, as often suggested by the PAP. Who knows, it could well be that an opposition party may prove itself a worthy government.
 

Goh Meng Seng

Alfrescian (InfP) [Comp]
Generous Asset
A rogue government springing from the PAP itself is the scariest of all, because it means they will have all the wide powers available to suppress dissent and entrench themselves in power. As the Straits Times wrote, it would be

... in full control of all the levers of power and all the key institutions from the presidency, judiciary and civil service to the labour movement, grassroots associations, professional organisations and the mass media.

-- ibid.

At the same time, the newspaper reminded us of

Singapore's highly ranked and much-envied system of governance ... with all its institutional locks and keys to check and oust a nefarious prime minister and his government

-- ibid

(By the way, I wondered why it was necessary to add the modifiers "highly ranked and much-envied" in that sentence. See the editorial bias at work?)

But I have my doubts about relying on any of these. After all, look at our judiciary. It's the one institution supposedly anchored to rigorous standards of justice developed over centuries in England. Yet, have they not been cowed, judging by its performance in every single politically sensitive case involving opposition politicians and independent media? You expect the civil service, the central bank, the presidency, the Elections Department, the police force, etc, to stand up to a PAP government gone bad?

In any case, is it not over-simplistic to speak of a "rogue" government, as if we will know when we have one? The nature of things is that decline is gradual. Shortcuts to the rule of law are taken, exceptions made, which at each instance would seem entirely justifiable given the prevailing circumstances. It is usually only with hindsight that we can see when things took a turn for the worse. Like the proverbial frog in slowly-boiling water, our "institutions" will keep adjusting to the realities of political demands until they are well and truly cooked.

The only way we can stop the rot is if we do not subscribe to the notion of the "Singapore way". Our standards of police independence, justice in defamation suits, human rights, freedom of speech and the non-politicisation of the civil service must be exactly the same as the best standards in the world. We must be intolerant of any slippage from those standards. There is no such thing as the "Singapore way". We must defend best standards and resist any departure from them even when times are good, because we will never know when times are not good till it is too late.

What was interesting about this Straits Times story was how all the non-government commentators it quoted were virtually unanimous that a two-party system would be best. For example, it quoted Ngiam Tong Dow:

Among those who saw the merits of such a system was former top civil servant Ngiam Tong Dow. In an interview with The Straits Times, he said that Singapore would survive Lee provided he left the right legacy, which was to 'open up politically and allow talent to be spread throughout our society so that an alternative leadership can emerge'.

'Unless Lee allows serious political challenges to emerge from the alternative elite out there, the incumbent elite will just coast along....

-- ibid.

A political researcher with the Institute of Policy Studies put it in another way:

Gillian Koh envisaged the political ideal as one which would ensure the survival of a country irrespective of which party was in power. Citing the example of Taiwan under the presidency of Democratic Progressive Party's Chen Shui-bian before he was replaced by Kuomintang's Ma Ying-jeou in 2008, the senior research fellow said: 'The country can now survive in spite of who is in power. It's not going to collapse. So even if you have a president who has completely lost all confidence of the people, the country will survive. There is the business sector, there is the people sector, there is a bureaucracy that will keep it going.'

-- ibid.

What the newspaper unearthed was a near-unanimity of thinking opinion in Singapore, that we really need to open up and move to a more competitive political system. You'd be hard-pressed to find anyone outside of the PAP today who would argue for more of the paternalistic one-party rule the party has represented for so long.

The centre of gravity has finally shifted. But what of the government's response? Are they still in denial mode? Is there anyone there who has the wisdom to see that the best legacy they can leave behind is to redesign the political system to make it more open, competitive, fairer and more soundly based on principles of human rights?

I'm not holding my breath. And frankly, that I am not should tell you the rot has begun. Perhaps the rogues are already here. Have they been here since 1961?

© Yawning Bread
 

Ramseth

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
However articulately presented, whatever, still doesn't address the basic problem. Lack of enough credible candidates. The present state of oppoosition and slate of candidates look like the Team Singapore being sent to the Olympic Games. Even if the Chinese and Americans and Russians are all drunk, they'd lose.
 

phouse3

Alfrescian
Loyal
"The single-party dominance is a historical phenomenon. It shouldn't be taken as the only logic of politics." - Chua Beng Huat

If the last GE was all about GRCs, the next GE would be about SMCs. Lee Jr. has created vacancies for 9 opposition MPs (including NCMPs). Opposition candidates would flock to the SMCs like bees to honey. If they can't make it through the front door, the backdoor is an alternative. Moreover, everyone is an optimist regarding his own ability but a pessimist regarding others'.

The idea of having 9 is to take the pressure off the GRCs, particularly AMK GRC. The Lees calculated that the voters would be less inclined to vote the opposition in the GRCs but more so in the to-be-hotly-contested SMCs. The Lees probably anticipated less than 66.6% of the votes, especially in AMK GRC, and they want to pre-empt an opposing camp within the MIW doing a "Badawi" on Lee Jr.

A 2-party system is more likely due to a division of the MIW than LTK's exhortation of (crawling) incremental inroads (reads: preservation of HG as the base or launching pad). But voters are very tired of listening to the same tune.

The MIW wants to renew the opposition too because the 2 incumbents are too silent ("An opposition without a voice is not an opposition"). The 2 had been anointed as the opposition voice so that the voters would not vote for the opposition in general.

Those gossipy MIW articles would only help to bring down the % of votes for the MIW lower because the peasants would realise that the MIW are not gods but are ordinary mortals: Goh is stingy, Lee Sr. became PM by a vote, wives are barred from meetings, Dhanabalan left because of differences, etc.

But the biggest contributing factor to the waning Leegime is the sick healthcare system concocted by the "clever" Cow. The holy Cow couldn't tell the difference between "means-testing" and "mean testing". The poor and the unemployed are paying private patient rates whereas the gainfully employed and civil servants are paying subsidised rates. The government hospitals are also turning away patients brusquely. Doctors have been turned into social worker cum financial consultants. The long queues have not miraculously disappeared. They just went from the outside to the inside of the polyclinics/hospitals because the doors are opened earlier. What a clever Cow indeed!

Perhaps the opposition should put their efforts into contesting only 3 GRCs - AMK, TP and MP - just to spoil the plan.
 

halsey02

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
However articulately presented, whatever, still doesn't address the basic problem. Lack of enough credible candidates. The present state of oppoosition and slate of candidates look like the Team Singapore being sent to the Olympic Games. Even if the Chinese and Americans and Russians are all drunk, they'd lose.

It is not the lack of credible candidates, but the oppositions were just not technically , mentally prepared to take on the PAP. Look back, at "Cheng San"..and most recent, "Aljunied GRC"...

Getting good candidates is not enough, you can have them, you can even have a good opposition leader...but you have a lousy logistic team, a lousy 'battle ground soldiers'...what'sthat line again...lousy 'softwares'...

the battle can never be won!:mad:
 
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