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Pay raises threaten China's role as the 'world's factory'?

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Could pay raises threaten China's role as the 'world's factory'?
By Xing Zhao 2 July, 2010 CNN

Factory workers have gotten their way and been promised wage increases, but netizens debate whether this is good for China in the long run.

Even there is labor law workers still have to work over 12 hours a shift. The pay raise is the same, not real.
— Xingcheng Luochuan, Chinese netizen from Jiaxing

For the past three decades, China has been the world's factory, manufacturing goods consumed around the word. The “Made in China” miracle is built on that fact that China, until recently, has had very cheap labor. However, with the increasing labor unrest, a wave of pay raises have been announced, and although many are celebrating the labor victory, voices online wonder if this is what’s best for China in the long term.

Pay raise wave

Zhang Yansheng from the Development and Reform Commission's Economic Research Center tells the International Herald Tribune in an interview that a survey he carried out in the Guangzhou and Shenzhen area shows that GDP has been growing at over 10 percent for years while the cost of labor has hardly climbed at all. “That is obviously not right,” says Zhang.

Intrigued by Foxconn's series of suicides, Zhang's group announced that it will offer its workers performance-based pay raises that would increase some workers' wages up to RMB 2,000 per month.

Seeing this shift from two major companies in its region, the Shenzhen government raised its minimum wage to RMB 1,100. Eleven other provinces and cities adjusted standards for minimum wages between 10 and 20 percent, including in Beijing.

Chinese factories: Do they stay or do they go?

“Such pay raise is unreasonable,” says Huang Mingzhi, head of the Taiwan Chamber of Commerce in Shenzhen to QQ.com. “We cannot afford and will not follow. With this trend, most of Taiwanese electronic factories on the mainland will leave within the next three to five years.” Foxconn has already announced plans to move thier factories more inland and north.

With rumors about major foreign companies considering moving their factories from China to other countries in Latin America and Asia due to China's increased labor costs, head of China's Investment Commission Zhang Yahan argues that factories will remain in mainland China since wages are only one small part of overall production costs. “It is more possible that factories will be moved from the coast to central or western China,” says Zhang. “And that is also what the Chinese government encourages them to do.”

About the change of China's status as the world's factory, netizen Suiyi Rufeng from Fuzhou says, “Pay raises might threaten China's place as world's factory and even hurt people's pockets, but in the long run we shouldn't want China to always be the world's chimney.”

Read more: Could pay raises threaten China's role as the 'world's factory'? | CNNGo.com http://www.cnngo.com/shanghai/life/...e-netizen-happy-about-it-999174#ixzz0t7z6vH6x
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Vietnam Tycoon Lures China Companies With Cheap Labor (Update1)
By Jason Folkmanis and Nguyen Kieu Giang - 03:50 EDT

“We chose the location because it was nearby many of our clients’ bases,” she said. “Vietnam’s diligent workers were also among the reasons.”


(Bloomberg) -- Vietnamese property developer Dang Thanh Tam, one of the country’s richest men, is trying to lure companies from China to his industrial parks with the promise of cheap labor costs.

Tam’s Kinh Bac City Development Share Holding Corp., Vietnam’s third-biggest publicly traded property developer, has attracted companies including units of Japan’s Canon Inc. and Sanyo Electric Co. Tam, 45, was one of Vietnam’s richest men at the end of 2009 based on his stock holdings, according to Thanh Nien newspaper.

Vietnam has begun to export more higher-value goods to the U.S., with global camera equipment companies shifting some production from China, according to the U.S. International Trade Commission. Manufacturers can benefit from a weakening dong in Vietnam, which competes with China for the export of footwear, garments and furniture, amid pressure for the yuan to strengthen.

“Production costs in China are becoming more expensive,” Tam, Kinh Bac’s chairman, said in an interview, citing higher labor costs in the world’s most populous country. “The transportation costs in China are also becoming very high.”

The company operates industrial zones in and around the capital Hanoi and the northern coastal city of Haiphong, Tam’s birthplace. Two of Vietnam’s three largest ports, Cam Pha and Haiphong, are in the north, according to the Vietnam Seaports Association.

Diversifying From China

China’s Guangdong province, the nation’s richest region by gross domestic product, said yesterday it will raise the minimum wage by 21.1 percent to help resolve a labor shortage. More than 50 percent of manufacturers in the province, China’s manufacturing hub, are experiencing a lack of manpower, according to a Hong Kong Trade Development Council report released March. 16.

Labor Costs

“Labor costs in some places in China have increased 20 to 30 percent in the past three months,” said Shaun Rein, founder and managing director of China Market Research Group in Shanghai. Wages are “probably double what you have to pay in Vietnam.”

Sanyo Electric last year started operating an optical-parts plant in a Kinh Bac park in a province bordering Hanoi, according to Yuko Hosaka, a Tokyo-based spokeswoman for the Japanese electronics maker.

“We chose the location because it was nearby many of our clients’ bases,” she said. “Vietnam’s diligent workers were also among the reasons.”

Canon, the world’s largest camera producer, said Vietnamese workers are “industrious, quick learners and quick to catch on to new technologies,” according to an e-mailed response from its Vietnamese unit to questions from Bloomberg News.

Tokyo-based Canon makes laser and ink-jet printers and scanners at a Kinh Bac park near Hanoi in Bac Ninh province, where the Vietnamese property company is located.

Weakening Dong

Shares in Kinh Bac, which by market value trails only Hoang Anh Gia Lai Joint-Stock Co. and Vincom Joint-Stock Co. among property developers, have increased 10 percent this year to 64,000 dong, compared with a 4.3 percent gain in the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange’s VN Index.

Kinh Bac reported net profit of 642 billion dong ($34 million) last year, more than double the 286 billion dong it posted in 2008. Tam’s stake of more than 30 percent makes him the biggest shareholder in the 12.4 trillion dong company.

The company may benefit from a depreciating dong, especially as the U.S. pressures China to allow its currency to appreciate, said John Marron, managing director of Midas Clothing Ltd. in Ho Chi Minh City, which exports Vietnamese-made Zara and Converse apparel.

“I’m making better margins now, and the weaker dong has definitely helped,” Marron said. “We pay our factories in dong and we get revenue in dollars.”
 
Isn't this what it is all about? Draw in MNCs, get good jobs (better than farming jobs) raise standard of living and ensuing leap in demand then increase worker's pay. It is fine for cheaper jobs to move overseas - after all why remain poor. But even then improve infra to increase productivity (see India road/train/power supply infra and you will understand what I mean by productivity) and use that infra to offset higher wages. After all wages in not everything. There is timely shipment. supply chain, frequency of ships, port facilties.

GM sold more cars in China than in the US. VW just announced US$2B new China plant. Mercedes, BMW all increasing mfg output and throwing billions in plants. So pay raises is a good thing as it increases consumer demand and that in turn draws in more MNCs
 
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