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Morgan Stanley May Collapse This Week?

makapaaa

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR>Morgan Stanley struggles for survival
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The Dow Jones ticker at New York's Times Square displaying grim news about embattled Morgan Stanley on Friday. -- PHOTO: BLOOMBERG
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<!-- START OF : div id="storytext"--><!-- more than 4 paragraphs -->New York - Morgan Stanley was racing to secure a financial lifeline from a big Japanese bank over the weekend as confidence in the embattled Wall Street bank continued to erode.
Investors have begun to question whether Japanese bank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, will go through with its US$9 billion (S$13.4 billion) investment or, if it does, whether that will be enough to safeguard Morgan Stanley. Both sides insist the deal will close on Tuesday.
But some investors have begun to float several other options for Morgan Stanley, the once-proud offshoot of the Morgan banking empire.
Some suggest Mitsubishi might buy the entire firm. Others say Morgan Stanley could seek a merger with a bank in the United States. Yet others say the federal government may buy into the besieged firm.
The growing concern over the fate of Morgan Stanley was evident in the stock market on Friday. Shares of the bank fell 22 per cent, or US$2.77, to US$9.68, less than half its value at the beginning of the week.
The decline left the shares down nearly 82 per cent this year.
Already, Mitsubishi is considering adding a credit facility to the deal that Morgan Stanley could draw on if trouble hits, according to a Morgan Stanley executive.
Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase declined to comment on Friday about whether they might consider a merger with Morgan Stanley.
For the US authorities watching from the sidelines as Morgan Stanley struggles with doubts about its survival, letting the investment bank fail is not really an option after the shockwaves created by the decision not to rescue Lehman Brothers, analysts say.
'You can't possibly allow Morgan Stanley to go. The unrelenting pessimism and absence of confidence that we've seen for the last two weeks would get worse,' said Mr Michael Holland, who oversees more than US$4 billion of assets at Holland & Co in New York.
If Morgan Stanley fails, billions of dollars of prime brokerage client assets will be tied up for months, hobbling a huge swathe of the world's hedge funds, a fund manager said.
But it is also becoming clear throughout the credit crisis that seemingly stable financial firms can collapse quickly.
'As we've seen with Bear Stearns and Lehman, once the fear virus has infected the story, it is tough to shake,' said Mr David Trone, an analyst with Fox-Pitt Kelton Cochran Caronia Waller, in a research note. New York Times, Reuters
 

Tiu-leh-see-fart

Alfrescian
Loyal
I disgree with you.

Singapore govt will make a beeline to help this ailing MS.

wait and see.


<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR>Morgan Stanley struggles for survival
</TR><!-- headline one : end --><!-- show image if available --><TR vAlign=bottom><TD width=330>
ST_IMAGES_WOMORGAN12.jpg

</TD><TD width=10>
c.gif
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom>
c.gif

The Dow Jones ticker at New York's Times Square displaying grim news about embattled Morgan Stanley on Friday. -- PHOTO: BLOOMBERG
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




<!-- START OF : div id="storytext"--><!-- more than 4 paragraphs -->New York - Morgan Stanley was racing to secure a financial lifeline from a big Japanese bank over the weekend as confidence in the embattled Wall Street bank continued to erode.
Investors have begun to question whether Japanese bank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, will go through with its US$9 billion (S$13.4 billion) investment or, if it does, whether that will be enough to safeguard Morgan Stanley. Both sides insist the deal will close on Tuesday.
But some investors have begun to float several other options for Morgan Stanley, the once-proud offshoot of the Morgan banking empire.
Some suggest Mitsubishi might buy the entire firm. Others say Morgan Stanley could seek a merger with a bank in the United States. Yet others say the federal government may buy into the besieged firm.
The growing concern over the fate of Morgan Stanley was evident in the stock market on Friday. Shares of the bank fell 22 per cent, or US$2.77, to US$9.68, less than half its value at the beginning of the week.
The decline left the shares down nearly 82 per cent this year.
Already, Mitsubishi is considering adding a credit facility to the deal that Morgan Stanley could draw on if trouble hits, according to a Morgan Stanley executive.
Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase declined to comment on Friday about whether they might consider a merger with Morgan Stanley.
For the US authorities watching from the sidelines as Morgan Stanley struggles with doubts about its survival, letting the investment bank fail is not really an option after the shockwaves created by the decision not to rescue Lehman Brothers, analysts say.
'You can't possibly allow Morgan Stanley to go. The unrelenting pessimism and absence of confidence that we've seen for the last two weeks would get worse,' said Mr Michael Holland, who oversees more than US$4 billion of assets at Holland & Co in New York.
If Morgan Stanley fails, billions of dollars of prime brokerage client assets will be tied up for months, hobbling a huge swathe of the world's hedge funds, a fund manager said.
But it is also becoming clear throughout the credit crisis that seemingly stable financial firms can collapse quickly.
'As we've seen with Bear Stearns and Lehman, once the fear virus has infected the story, it is tough to shake,' said Mr David Trone, an analyst with Fox-Pitt Kelton Cochran Caronia Waller, in a research note. New York Times, Reuters
 

DIVISION1

Alfrescian
Loyal
The fact that MS is not doing well is clear. However, one must keep a clear perspective of the ultimate possible outcomes in the worst scenariot: i) there is a bailout; ii) there is none.
 

Merl Haggard

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
A week ago when Mitsubishi was negotiating with Morgan Stanley, MS share was trading at $23-$25, but now it has fallen down to $9 per share.

It's impossible for Mitsubishi to proceed with the 25% purchase of MS equity, unless MS is willing to sell at 64% discount and hence the deal will not go through.

Besides the uncertainty of Mitsubishi's purchase, MS is loaded with tens of billions of toxic mortgages issued by Lehman Bros.






<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR>Morgan Stanley struggles for survival
</TR><!-- headline one : end --><!-- show image if available --><TR vAlign=bottom><TD width=330>
ST_IMAGES_WOMORGAN12.jpg

</TD><TD width=10>
c.gif
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom>
c.gif

The Dow Jones ticker at New York's Times Square displaying grim news about embattled Morgan Stanley on Friday. -- PHOTO: BLOOMBERG
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




<!-- START OF : div id="storytext"--><!-- more than 4 paragraphs -->New York - Morgan Stanley was racing to secure a financial lifeline from a big Japanese bank over the weekend as confidence in the embattled Wall Street bank continued to erode.
Investors have begun to question whether Japanese bank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, will go through with its US$9 billion (S$13.4 billion) investment or, if it does, whether that will be enough to safeguard Morgan Stanley. Both sides insist the deal will close on Tuesday.
But some investors have begun to float several other options for Morgan Stanley, the once-proud offshoot of the Morgan banking empire.
Some suggest Mitsubishi might buy the entire firm. Others say Morgan Stanley could seek a merger with a bank in the United States. Yet others say the federal government may buy into the besieged firm.
The growing concern over the fate of Morgan Stanley was evident in the stock market on Friday. Shares of the bank fell 22 per cent, or US$2.77, to US$9.68, less than half its value at the beginning of the week.
The decline left the shares down nearly 82 per cent this year.
Already, Mitsubishi is considering adding a credit facility to the deal that Morgan Stanley could draw on if trouble hits, according to a Morgan Stanley executive.
Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase declined to comment on Friday about whether they might consider a merger with Morgan Stanley.
For the US authorities watching from the sidelines as Morgan Stanley struggles with doubts about its survival, letting the investment bank fail is not really an option after the shockwaves created by the decision not to rescue Lehman Brothers, analysts say.
'You can't possibly allow Morgan Stanley to go. The unrelenting pessimism and absence of confidence that we've seen for the last two weeks would get worse,' said Mr Michael Holland, who oversees more than US$4 billion of assets at Holland & Co in New York.
If Morgan Stanley fails, billions of dollars of prime brokerage client assets will be tied up for months, hobbling a huge swathe of the world's hedge funds, a fund manager said.
But it is also becoming clear throughout the credit crisis that seemingly stable financial firms can collapse quickly.
'As we've seen with Bear Stearns and Lehman, once the fear virus has infected the story, it is tough to shake,' said Mr David Trone, an analyst with Fox-Pitt Kelton Cochran Caronia Waller, in a research note. New York Times, Reuters
 
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travelbug

Alfrescian
Loyal
the UFJ deal went thru right?

MS went up up up right?

Yes Mitsubishi signed on the dotted line on Sunday night so Morgan Stanley share price shot up. Signed sealed & delivered. Treasury Secretary Paulson once again knelt on his knees & begged Mitsubishi & Jap govt to take on Morgan Stanley or the whole world will die another death defying plunge again, Paulson is now a professional knee begging negotiator!
 

DIVISION1

Alfrescian
Loyal
"[A]sk not what your country can do for you - ask what you can do for your country. "

Inaugural Address by John F. Kennedy - January 20th 1961

Is it not such a noble cause, especially from the former CEO of Goldman Sachs and current Treasury Secretary of the United States of America?
 

qwerty

Alfrescian
Loyal
my sis also from goldman... but i think she is quite stupid sometimes....

as long you got kaki to pull you in, easy to get in lah.... surviving is another matter
 

pfingo

Alfrescian
Loyal
mr qwerty, sir, with all due respect u r going out of point

i also know many har-bird scholar. does not mean i more clever than u? :smile:

we have to laud sec. paulson 4 wat he has done
 
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