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Malaysia’s new leader dealt rebuke in polls

kensington

Alfrescian
Loyal
TAIPING, Malaysia (AFP) — Malaysia’s premier Najib Razak was dealt a rebuke by voters Tuesday, losing two of three by-elections seen as a referendum on support for his new leadership and promised reforms. The votes were the first test for Najib, who was sworn in last Friday, and provided a snapshot of the public mood one year after the ruling Barisan Nasional coalition was humbled in disastrous general elections.

The coalition won one of Tuesday’s ballots, for a seat in the state parliament in Sarawak on Borneo island, with a convincing majority that showed it remains the dominant political force in the underdeveloped region.

But the opposition scored a landslide victory in the most prominent of the three polls, in Bukit Gantang in northern Perak state, claiming another seat in the national parliament and a major boost to its credibility. It also won the hotly contested third election, for a seat in the state parliament of northern Kedah.

Anwar Ibrahim, who leads the three-member opposition alliance and made a failed bid to unseat the government last year with the help of defectors, was elated by the performance. “Malaysians want change, irrespective of the new prime minister,” he told AFP. He said the winds of change were “still blowing” after the landmark general elections a year ago in which the opposition seized control of five of Malaysia’s 13 states and a third of seats in parliament.

Najib has announced an ambitious agenda to reform the ruling party UMNO, which represents majority Muslim Malays, and repair ties with the nation’s ethnic Chinese and Indian minorities. But after his predecessor Abdullah Ahmad Badawi failed to implement his own promised reforms during his six years in power, there is scepticism over whether Najib can deliver.

“It is definitely a bruising for Najib,” said political analyst Shaharuddin Badaruddin. “He will now have to look again at how he is going to win back the support of Malaysians and come up with a plan quickly to ensure the Barisan Nasional is not routed in the next general elections.”

The three constituencies, embracing more than 98,700 voters, were seen as an indicator of the next elections due by 2013 because they represent a wide spectrum of Malaysians. The electorates included rural Malays who have been UMNO’s bedrock, as well as ethnic Chinese and Indians, who flocked to the opposition in the March 2008 elections.

The coalition’s win in Sarawak was widely anticipated, after it flooded the impoverished electorate with development funds, but political analysts said the loss in Bukit Gantang heaped pressure on Najib. Ibrahim Suffian from the Merdeka Centre polling firm said the new leader must now deliver on his promises, in order to win back voters before the next general elections.

“He has to be able to tangibly make a difference before Malaysians will swing back support to the coalition,” he said. “What it means is that there is no honeymoon, Malaysians want their changes to happen now, and he cannot expect that rhetoric alone will carry the day.”

Azmin Ali, vice-president of Anwar’s Keadilan party, which leads the Pakatan Rakyat alliance, said the results showed a “rejection of the prime minister and bad government policies that have done much damage to the country”. “What these results show is that Pakatan Rakyat is still very popular with the people and that they want an honest, credible government which Barisan Nasional is unable to deliver,” he said.

more here;http://sjsandteam.wordpress.com/2009/04/08/malaysias-new-leader-dealt-rebuke-in-polls/
 

kensington

Alfrescian
Loyal
A show of a more united Umno, with the presence of former premier Mahathir Mohamad, appeared not to have worked at winning back the Malays.

Carolyn Hong, The Straits Times

It was not a night of celebration for Barisan Nasional (BN). The status quo remained with no seats changing parties in the three by-elections held yesterday.
But the ruling coalition's failure to reclaim the two peninsula seats was a severe blow to its attempt at reinventing its image. The only piece of good news was that it won big in the Batang Ai by-election in Sarawak. Its vote majority more than doubled compared to the 2006 state election.

The bad news: Bukit Gantang, a parliamentary seat in Perak, stayed in opposition hands, as did Bukit Selambau, a state assembly seat in Kedah.

In Bukit Gantang – seen as the most important of the three – the opposition alliance Pakatan Rakyat (PR) won the seat by 2,789 votes, which was higher than its 1,566 majority last year. It was a convincing win.

The BN failed miserably in trying to woo voters back in the peninsula since its dramatic losses in the 2008 general election, even as it retained support in East Malaysia.

One irresistible conclusion is that the Umno-led BN is increasingly forced to rely on the Ibans and rest of East Malaysia to bolster its grip on power. If true, this geographical polarisation does not bode well for Malaysia.

As detailed results were not available at press time, the voting patterns by race are not entirely clear. Limited preliminary data suggests that the Malays remain split. If there was a swing either way, it would likely have been marginal.

Early data also indicates that the minority communities may have swung even more strongly towards the opposition. For instance, in the almost entirely Chinese area of Kuala Sepetang in Bukit Gantang, early figures showed that the BN won only about 15 per cent of the votes. That is half the number obtained in last year's election, said electoral analyst Ong Kian Ming.

With Malay votes not returning to the BN and minority votes becoming entrenched with the opposition, it would appear that the BN's strategies have failed.

The PR had won all four by-elections in the peninsula since last year's polls with a bigger majority.

In all four, the BN used a race-based strategy.

The opposition PR couched its battle as a class war – the masses versus the elite. The PR's message is clearly more appealing, albeit more to the non-Malays. But there are enough Malays who will support it, partly due to the pull of component member Parti Islam SeMalaysia.

Newly appointed Prime Minister Najib Razak's four-day old campaign of multiracialism and reforms appeared to have made little impact. The new vision he sought to inspire did not resonate enough to make a difference.

Perhaps, it was expecting too much too soon with an electorate already weary of broken promises. Former premier Abdullah Badawi made similar promises five years ago.

“People are waiting to see if Najib delivers. He has to sustain it to convince people,” said Ong.

What must be more disturbing for Umno is that its racial campaign in Bukit Gantang appears to have failed to move the Malays significantly.

While the full data is not out yet, the PR's improved majority would mean that the Malay vote could not have moved much to Umno, if at all.

Calculations suggest that it would not be more than two percentage points towards Umno if non-Malay support for BN plunged by about 5 per cent.

Umno had gone to great lengths to paint the PR candidate Nizar Jamaluddin, the former Perak menteri besar, as a Chinese stooge.

It played on the Malay insecurities by calling Nizar a traitor for challenging the Sultan of Perak's refusal to call for snap elections after the PR government was toppled by the BN in February.

A show of a more united Umno, with the presence of former premier Mahathir Mohamad, appeared not to have worked at winning back the Malays.

Gerakan president Koh Tsu Koon said the BN had yet to turn the tide, especially among the non-Malays, and had to implement reforms more concretely.

The BN should not be tempted to whitewash the mixed results by trumpeting the Batang Ai win. East Malaysia has totally different dynamics.

Bukit Gantang is still the most significant seat because it has the most direct link to Datuk Seri Najib. The Premier is seen as responsible for toppling the opposition-led Perak government last month, and the by-election was seen as the test of the people's verdict on the new government.

Overall, the BN will not be seen a winner last night.



more here;http://mt.m2day.org/2008/content/view/20335/84/
 
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