China should actually BAN sales of many strategic and essential items to USA, don't always be stupid and eagle to do business. US economic dependency on Chinese supplies must be utilized to win trade war. W/O Chinese supplies lots of US consumers and govt services will be crying in pain and fuck Trump. Bankrupt USA is becoming a decreasing positioned customer as they are BANKRUPTED and owing huge debt. Sell to only good customers not the enemy! As the top world depending manufacturer China must use advantage to fix USA. Beggars can no only afford to buy very cheap supplies and expect quality too, and buy on credit terms. They can not find any such alternative. Others will be costing much more and may be not even as good.
China promised a painful torture on Americans during the trade wars. Pains should be such that China can survive and endure, but America can not survive nor endure.
http://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2018-03-15/doc-ifyscsmv8297162.shtml
媒体:中国若被迫与美国打贸易战 就要打痛它
媒体:中国若被迫与美国打贸易战 就要打痛它
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原标题:社评:若被迫与美打贸易战,就要打痛它
据西方主流媒体报道,美国政府消息人士透露,特朗普总统正在寻求对最高达600亿美元的中国进口商品加征关税,并将把目标锁定在科技和电信行业。报道称,那些关税可能“很快”就要开征。
随着对被认为持对华强硬立场的蓬佩奥出任国务卿,美国对华贸易领域咄咄逼人的政策有可能加快出台,中美关系经历一轮紧张恐在所难免。
中国需做好开展贸易报复的准备,这种准备包括具体策略上的,也包括心理上的。北京需对华盛顿搞一场大致对等的、态度上不上纲上线但做法上决不手软的“迎头痛击”。
特朗普政府现在非常笃信能在气势上压倒中国,期待美提高中国产品进口关税是只赚不赔或者赚远多于赔的讨伐。上任一年多以来,特朗普在国际上四面发威,除了朝鲜半岛方向比较曲折,在其他方向大多进行得比较顺利。他四处出访获得超规格礼遇,还带回许多在美投资建厂或者购买更多美国商品的承诺。
特朗普迄今为止没因对外奉行强硬政策吃什么亏,这会让他觉得自己是对的。所以他排挤掉了其团队中蒂勒森、科恩这样为数不多的“全球主义者”,把更多鹰派人物召进自己的班底。
其实华盛顿有一点需要搞清楚,特朗普总统成功地树立了自己什么都敢干的形象,但他最好是用这个形象吓唬世界,不能真的“什么都敢干”。美国如果真与世界打大规模贸易战,它必将置自己于尴尬的位置。
美国并没有真的从国际贸易中吃亏,美国至今仍是全球最发达的国家,处在世界从科技到金融的顶端。贸易逆差不是衡量美国经济社会发展状况的唯一指标,而且减少贸易逆差主要得靠美国社会勤奋,面向国际市场需求做更大的开放与改革,而不是让外部世界为迎合美国利益做出改变。美国人觉得自己吃了大亏,是不讲道理的怨天尤人。
对外展示一些强硬姿态、尽可能多地为美国捞一些利益,以此安抚选民的情绪,有利于自己竞选连任,这是特朗普能够做的。直到最近以前,应当说华盛顿总体上做得不错。
然而做些威胁可以,但对抗是不能真搞的,因为一旦贸易战打起来,有点实力的国家没有哪一个会向美国屈服。比如中国,我们尽量避免打贸易战,不意味着会在美国真打到我们家门口时采取绥靖政策,反击势必发生。而与美国开打贸易战的国家,很多政治上承受贸易战的能力都高于美国,最后先撑不住的很可能就是特朗普政府。
只要华盛顿的强硬政策导致美国吃一次比较大的亏,特朗普政府就将付出巨大代价。这个政府较之前美国政府更强势的唯一资源是特朗普的个性,它受到的真实掣肘实际上不低于以往的任何一届美国政府,民意支持也不高。它的冒进姿态掩饰不了它其实需要如履薄冰的现实。
中国决不能主动做特朗普枪下的“出头鸟”,但我们块头大,决不能被当成可以割肉的肥羊,而要让特朗普确信,我们是一旦被招惹将会毫不犹豫还手的勇士。
也许中美注定要“交一两回手”,帮助华盛顿彻底搞清楚“惹谁都别惹中国”的道理。一旦这样的挑战直抵阵前,就让我们坦然接受它好了。
Media: China must beat it if it is forced to fight trade with the United States
Media: China must beat it if it is forced to fight trade with the United States
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Original title: Social comment: If you are forced to fight trade with the United States, you must beat it
According to Western mainstream media reports, U.S. government sources revealed that President Trump is seeking to impose tariffs on Chinese imports of up to 60 billion U.S. dollars and will target the technology and telecommunications industries. Reported that those tariffs may be "quickly" will be introduced.
With the appointment of Pompeo as Secretary of State for a firm position against China, the aggressive US policies in the area of trade with China are likely to be speeded up. It is inevitable that Sino-U.S. relations experience a series of tensions.
China needs to be ready to launch trade retaliation. This preparation includes specific tactics as well as psychological ones. Beijing needs to engage in a roughly reciprocal attack on Washington, but it is not on the line but it is not a soft-headed approach.
The Trump administration is now very convinced that it can overwhelm China in its momentum and expects the United States to increase its import tariffs on Chinese products only to make a profit or lose more than to lose. Over the past one or more years, Trump has been making an all-out move in the international arena. In addition to the twists and turns in the direction of the Korean Peninsula, most of the other directions have been relatively smooth. He traveled around to get extra-special privileges and brought back many promises to invest in US factories or buy more U.S. goods.
Trump has not so far suffered from a tough policy for foreigners. This will make him feel right. So he squeezed out a handful of "globalists" such as Tillerson and Cohen from his team and called more hawks into his team.
In fact, Washington needs to make clear that President Trump has successfully established himself as an image that he dares to do. However, he is best to use this image to scare the world. He cannot really "do anything." If the United States really fights a large-scale trade war with the world, it will surely place itself in an awkward position.
The United States has not really suffered from international trade. The United States is still the world’s most advanced country and it is at the top of the world from technology to finance. The trade deficit is not the only indicator to measure the economic and social development of the United States. The main reason for reducing the trade deficit depends on the diligence of the American society and greater openness and reforms for the needs of the international market, rather than making the outside world make changes to cater to the interests of the United States. Americans feel that they have suffered a big loss. They are unreasonable and complaining.
It is Trump's ability to demonstrate some tough gestures and to use as many benefits as possible for the United States to soothe the sentiments of the voters and help them run for reelection. Until recently, it should be said that Washington has done a good job overall.
However, some threats can be done, but confrontation can't really take place, because once the trade battle is fought, no country with a certain strength will succumb to the United States. For example, in China, we try to avoid a trade war. It does not mean that we will adopt a policy of appeasement when the United States really hits our doorstep. A counterattack is bound to happen. In countries where the United States opened a trade war, many countries are more able to withstand trade wars than the United States. The last thing they can't sustain is the Trump administration.
As long as Washington’s tough policy has caused the United States to suffer a relatively large loss, the Trump administration will pay a huge price. The only resource that this government has been more powerful than the previous US government is Trump's personality. The real constraints it suffers are actually not lower than any previous U.S. government, and public support is not high. Its aggressive attitude can not conceal the fact that it actually requires walking on thin ice.
China must not take the initiative to do the "bird of prey" under the Trump guns. But we are big and we must not be treated as meat sheep. We must convince Trump that we will not hesitate to retreat once we are provoked. Warriors.
Maybe China and the United States are doomed to "make a handful or two." Helping Washington to thoroughly understand the principle of "provoke no one to mess with China." Once such a challenge comes straight to the front, let us calmly accept it.