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Innovative ways help India outpace China - Moody's

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Innovative ways help India outpace China - Moody's
October 13, 2009,

India has piped China to become the world's fastest growing telecom market, thanks to the various “innovative” ways such as infrastructure sharing and network management outsourcing adopted by it that has also helped operators keep the service charge low, says a report.

Terming India as “world's fastest growing (telecom) market”, global rating agency Moody's today said in the past 18 months, “India's net additions of 10 million (subscribers) per month have far outpaced China's monthly rate of increase, now below eight million”.

About two years ago, China was having the highest number of new subscribers on a monthly basis.

“Although emerging markets with relatively low penetration continue to have above-average rates of increase in new subscribers, those numbers tend to be slowing, except in India...,” Moody's said in a statement.

The agency said that Indian telecom players were using “innovative means such as outsourcing network management and sharing mobile infrastructure to keep costs low in extending services to under-served rural areas”.

Moody's said mobile operators in India frequently shared base stations and partner with other firms or independent cell-tower firms in expanding coverage to under-penetrated rural areas from where much of the growth was coming.

The agency said divestment of non-core assets like selling or sharing cell phone towers as a way to control costs and optimise capital expenditure had helped Indian operators in expanding coverage.

For the telecom sector in the Asia-Pacific region, Moody's has assigned a “stable outlook” and noted that this market presents attractive investment opportunities.

The agency said the revenue growth for the region would drop sharply by year-end 2009 from the double-digit growth rates of last five years.

However, the full-year revenue growth for the industry this year will remain marginally positive.

Revenues from voice service and SMS are expected to fall but data revenue should continue to grow, Moody's said.

The outlook is based on expectations from telecom operators in the Asia-Pacific region across Singapore, Japan, Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand, Philippines, South Korea, Thailand, Pakistan and Indonesia.

It did not include any Indian operator, though NTT Docomo and Singapore Telecommunications (SingTel) which have partnerships in India were included.
 
If you have lots of quality subscribers then there is no need to share infrastructure. There is lots of money to be made in cell phone business. In fact cell phone operators compete on better cell coverage so they would not share their infrastructure.

However if the growth in cell phone subscribers are coming from low value subscribers those that hardly use their phones then the need to use "innovation" or cheap infrastructure is needed in order to cut cost.

No idea what type of subscriber we are talking about. But the avg Chinese is a lot wealthier then the avg Indian and there are 30% more Chinese so I would not be surprised if the growth in new Indian subscribers might be telcos trying to mop up quantity of subsrcibers at the expenses of quality of subscribers.

In building cell infrastructure one should not skimp. This infra like cell towers and equipment will eventually need to provide high capacity 3G services.

Another possibility is that China has a more mature cellular penetration. China Mobile alone has 500 million subscribers. China Unicom has 140M subscribers. So after this level of rapid growth, future growth will slow down as the market matures.

http://www.cellular-news.com/story/39694.php

In april of 2009 total cellular subscribers in India is at 400M

http://www.livemint.com/2009/06/02140818/India8217s-mobile-subscribe.html

Read an article about India cellular infra bottlenecks - lack of stable power supply. For India to grow it needs to build up its infrastructure like better roads, railways, sewers, water supply and power supply.



Innovative ways help India outpace China - Moody's
October 13, 2009,

India has piped China to become the world's fastest growing telecom market, thanks to the various “innovative” ways such as infrastructure sharing and network management outsourcing adopted by it that has also helped operators keep the service charge low, says a report.

Terming India as “world's fastest growing (telecom) market”, global rating agency Moody's today said in the past 18 months, “India's net additions of 10 million (subscribers) per month have far outpaced China's monthly rate of increase, now below eight million”.

About two years ago, China was having the highest number of new subscribers on a monthly basis.

“Although emerging markets with relatively low penetration continue to have above-average rates of increase in new subscribers, those numbers tend to be slowing, except in India...,” Moody's said in a statement.

The agency said that Indian telecom players were using “innovative means such as outsourcing network management and sharing mobile infrastructure to keep costs low in extending services to under-served rural areas”.

Moody's said mobile operators in India frequently shared base stations and partner with other firms or independent cell-tower firms in expanding coverage to under-penetrated rural areas from where much of the growth was coming.

The agency said divestment of non-core assets like selling or sharing cell phone towers as a way to control costs and optimise capital expenditure had helped Indian operators in expanding coverage.

For the telecom sector in the Asia-Pacific region, Moody's has assigned a “stable outlook” and noted that this market presents attractive investment opportunities.

The agency said the revenue growth for the region would drop sharply by year-end 2009 from the double-digit growth rates of last five years.

However, the full-year revenue growth for the industry this year will remain marginally positive.

Revenues from voice service and SMS are expected to fall but data revenue should continue to grow, Moody's said.

The outlook is based on expectations from telecom operators in the Asia-Pacific region across Singapore, Japan, Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand, Philippines, South Korea, Thailand, Pakistan and Indonesia.

It did not include any Indian operator, though NTT Docomo and Singapore Telecommunications (SingTel) which have partnerships in India were included.
 
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