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Huat Ah! Diamond prices fell 30% & worst next year!

flkyflky

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Diamond prices fell 30% already this year. And will be worst in the next year!

Huat Ah!

http://tw.news.yahoo.com/article/url/d/a/081119/2/19q2f.html


鑽石暴跌3成 明年會更慘
聯合 更新日期:2008/11/19 16:20 編譯朱小明/綜合報導

鑽石是公認的永恆象徵,不少人用以保值,但金融海嘯令鑽石價格也無法恆久閃耀,已不再是投資者的「頂級」好友。鑽石價格面臨五年來首度下跌,今年普通貨色鑽石的價格預料會下跌三至四成,高檔鑽石的跌幅將更大。

控制全球四成市場的De Beers公司和俄羅斯Alrosa集團等主要鑽石商,和印度、以色列、杜拜和中國的切割師、磨光師、交易商,正在全球「鑽石之都」安特衛普集會,商討如何因應鑽石跌價的問題。安特衛普世界鑽石中心主席阿納爾達指出,業界目前的困境前所未見,「一無市場、二無流動資金、三無需求,更慘的是沒有信心」。

根據鑽石價格指數PolishedPrices.com的數據顯示,8月以來,切割鑽石價格下跌10.8%。未切割天然鑽石價格由每克拉平均2500美元跌至1400美元,跌幅達44%,預計明年跌幅將更甚。

美國人一向是鑽石最大買家,購買量占全球45%,但美國陷入衰退,通常占全年銷售量四成的耶誕節旺季恐怕難以指望。預料明年北美對鑽石的需求量會減少15%,歐洲減少10%,日本也會下跌5%。

受金融海嘯影響,消費市場萎縮,出手闊綽的富豪不再一擲千金購買奢侈品,地位如畢卡索的頂級鑽石也有行無市。

De Beers表示,雖然美國人購買量減少,但中國、印度和中東仍然買氣旺盛,De Beers去年生意僅減少3%至68億美元。但英國Gem Diamonds鑽石開採公司表示,今年第四季鑽石銷售收益顯著下跌,雖然上半年仍有2380萬美元獲利,但預料下半年會把獲利虧光。Gem Diamonds已暫停在剛果的部分開採作業,並停止印尼鑽石礦生產,消息傳出後,該公司股價重挫38%。俄羅斯的Alrosa也已減產40%,以緩和未切割原石供應過剩的情形。

全球鑽石切割業龍頭的印度,下月將暫停原石進口,雖然目前只計畫暫停進口一個月,但80萬人面臨隨時失業的危險。

Polished-Prices.com表示,鑽石業明年第一季恐怕更難過。但並非所有人都看淡前景,高級珠寶店Graff Diamonds創辦人葛拉夫就認為,頂級鑽石十分稀罕,無論是自用抑或投資都一定有市場,價格短期內或有波動,但長遠來說後市仍然看好。
 
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601088&sid=axbj.OboGw7I

Sotheby's Fails to Sell Top 3 Diamond Lots in Geneva Auction

By Thomas Mulier
Enlarge Image/Details

Nov. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Sotheby's failed to sell three of the top diamonds offered in a Geneva auction of jewels following a five-week decline in prices for such gems.

Sotheby's had put stones up for sale such as a 10.48 carat flawless deep blue diamond valued at $6 million to $9 million. The top price for an item at the sale was $1.3 million for an 8 carat pink diamond ring, said an e-mailed statement sent late yesterday.

Three contemporary-art sales in New York last week disappointed art dealers by failing to reach their estimated revenue, raising concern among auction houses that demand for high-price goods may be wavering. The Rapaport Diamond Trade Index dropped 9.4 percent in the five weeks through Nov. 18.

``The diamond market is currently in a phase of transition and it will probably not be clear where it is headed until the end of the year,'' David Bennett, Sotheby's chairman for its European and Middle Eastern jewelry business, said in the statement.

About 39 percent of the lots offered in the Sotheby's auction went unsold. Sotheby's said the sale totaled $14.8 million.

London-based Christie's is holding a rival jewelry auction today in Geneva.

To contact the writer on the story: Thomas Mulier in Geneva at [email protected].
Last Updated: November 20, 2008 04:50 EST
 
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/artic...cial/f091733S85.DTL&feed=rss.moviereviews


Antwerp hosts emergency diamond talks amid slump

By CONSTANT BRAND, Associated Press Writer

Monday, November 17, 2008

More ads, less gems: Top producers crafted emergency plans Monday to make sure that diamonds remain a girl's best friend this Christmas, despite the economic gloom.

Traders, cutters, polishers and producers from the world's top diamond hubs — including India, Israel, Dubai and China — held crisis talks in this Belgian city to keep the shine on their multibillion-dollar business.

Industry leaders De Beers Group and Russian mining giant Alrosa announced plans to cut production of rough diamonds and to launch a massive media blitz in the United States to lure consumers back to jewelers and prevent a panicky markdown in prices.

Still, industry experts warned of a possible 15 percent drop in sales in North America next year, a 10 percent sales drop in Europe and a five percent drop in Japan.

The gloomy forecasts added to an already dismal situation for the industry, which only recently had been riding the luxury boom amid good times in China, the U.S. and Russia.

All that changed when the banking credit crunch hit, drying up regular loans from banks to cover purchases of rough gems.

"The market situation is unprecedented, we are in the midst of a global economic crisis," said Freddy Hannard, head of the Antwerp World Diamond Center, which organized Monday's talks. "All of us have felt the pressure ... no market, no liquidity, no demand and worse of all no confidence."

The drop in sales also means less demand for rough gems, which are expected to fall by 35 percent next year. Sales for rough diamonds are estimated to be worth $14.5 billion (euro11.5 billion) this year.

Vasant Mehta, head of India's gem and jewelry export promotion council, called the situation "alarming" and said India was suspending all imports of rough stones for a month in December because of lower-than-expected demand. India is the world's largest center for cutting rough diamonds.

"The diamond industry has taken a beating," he said, adding that 800,000 jobs in India were at stake.

Sergey Vybornov, the president of Alrosa, Russia's state diamond monopoly, said his company was looking to cut production up to 40 percent to ease the glut of rough stones now on the market.

And De Beers Group managing director Gareth Penny, whose company controls 40 percent of the global diamond trade, said De Beers was launching a massive ad campaign in the United States this Christmas to boost sales.

"Clearly, these are very difficult and challenging economic times," he said. "We feel, however, we have an extraordinary product in the diamond."

He said company research showed that diamonds remained the most popular gift at Christmas in the U.S. market — which represents 43 percent of all worldwide sales.

"All our research shows that the consumer, particularly in America, wants diamonds more this Christmas than our research has ever shown, for us that's very encouraging," said Penny.

He suggested the best way for the industry to survive was to better coordinate marketing, not cut prices.

"They (women) won't want it if the message going out from this room ... is that somehow this is disposable," Penny said. "We are all panicking about it and we don't understand the value of what we are selling."
 
Well, diamonds do not really have a value, so it doesn't really matter.
Industrial diamonds which have a use is cheap. The ornamental ones
are really just a very good marketing ploy thru the ages.
 
http://allafrica.com/stories/200811200128.html

Namibia: Diamond Jobs Under Threat

The Namibian (Windhoek)



The Namibian (Windhoek)

20 November 2008
Posted to the web 20 November 2008

Nangula Shejavali

NAMIBIA'S nascent diamond cutting and polishing industry, together with the Government's beneficiation programme, is set to be hard hit by the global financial crisis, as major diamond producers have announced plans to cut back production.

This week, De Beers Group and other international diamond players said diamond production will be cut in the coming months to decrease the supply of rough diamonds on the market.

De Beers has a 50 per cent shareholding in Namdeb, Namibia's major on- and off-shore diamond producer.

While the general feeling is that it may be too early to tell how the crisis will impact Namibia's diamond industry, negative signals are already seen across the entire diamond pipeline - from production to cutting and polishing, right through to sales of finished products.

At the Antwerp Diamond Symposium on Monday, it was announced that "demand for diamonds at retail will fall about 10 per cent over the coming year, translating to a 20 per cent decrease in demand for loose polished diamonds at wholesale, and a 35 per cent fall in the amount of rough diamonds required."

This will directly impact on the Namibian diamond industry, which contributes significantly the Namibian economy, not only on the production side, but also in terms of the downstream activities in the form of cutting and polishing centres.

At the Symposium, Gareth Penny, Managing Director of the De Beers Group, stated that De Beers has decided to cut production of rough diamonds in order to meet the decreased consumer demand, and to support and promote diamonds through a large-scale marketing campaign, particularly in the United States, which represents 43 per cent of the world sales.

THE EFFECTS The financial crisis, by affecting the sales side of the diamond industry, has wide-ranging effects on other areas in the industry.

The Namibian spoke to various important players in the diamond industry to gain a sense of how the industry is being affected.

Hilifa Mbako, Namdeb's Group External Affairs and Corporate Communications Manager, said that Namdeb does not deal directly with the downstream activities of the beneficiation process, but confirmed that there would be cuts on the production side.

"We are looking at various scenarios regarding how this would affect the labour component," Mbako said.

Namdeb currently employs approximately 3 500 people, of which 90 per cent are involved in production activities.

Cutting production levels could result in job losses.

"This week, we are locked up in meetings to discuss this issue.

We don't see it prevailing in the long term though, as at the moment the problem lies in the area of sales, due to the financial crisis," Mbako said.

The Namibian Government and De Beers in 2007 established the Namibia Diamond Trading Company (NDTC) as a 50:50 joint venture, in an attempt to increase the local benefit of diamonds to the Namibian economy through creating a downstream industry.

Paulus Shituna, Sales and Marketing Manager at the NDTC highlighted that the most significant issue in the diamond industry with regards to the financial crisis is the liquidity problem, and the inability to buy diamonds as a result, but emphasised that this was a short-term impact.

Asked how this would affect the Namibian economy, Shituna stated that "from a practical point of view, revenue from diamonds will be impacted negatively because of the decrease in sales," but added that this problem was not specific to the diamond industry, but was a result of macroeconomic trends worldwide.

With regard to the cutting and polishing industry that is meant to grow through beneficiation initiatives, Shituna said that "the status quo remains, but it is too early to say what the impact will be."

Shituna explained that because of the cut in diamond production, the amount of diamonds available for cutting and polishing will also decrease, as NDTC's activities depend on Namdeb's production.

Eliphas Hawala, General Manager at NamGem, highlighted the fact that there has been a drop in the price of polished diamonds by about 15 per cent.

NamGem sells its polished stones to US-based Lazare Kaplan International (LKI), which has to date not indicated any decrease in demand.


Hawala explained that it is still too early to tell what the impact the financial crisis would have on the business of NamGem, as the biggest proportion of diamonds are only sold between November and December, when major events/holidays such as Thanksgiving, Christmas, the Chinese New Year, and Valentine's take place.
 
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=48129

State Diamond Body Plagued By Problems

By Linda Ensor
20 Nov 2008 at 09:22 AM GMT-05:00

The minerals and energy department was in negotiations with diamond producers to work out a better way for the State Diamond Trader (SDT) to function to ensure its long-term viability, director-general Sandile Nogxina said yesterday.
CAPE TOWN (Business Day) -- The state-owned company set up earlier this year to promote the beneficiation of diamonds mined in South Africa by local cutters and polishers had only been able to access 3% of the possible 10% supply of diamonds made available by De Beers, due to a lack of funding. It has also been plagued by capacity problems and internal disputes.

Parliament’s minerals and energy portfolio committee heard that a key challenge was the fact that the SDT had to purchase diamonds at market price “while maintaining acceptable prices to buyers” and profitable trading.

In terms of the law the SDT is required to buy the diamonds at market value from local diamond producers and sell them to beneficiators after adding a mark-up.

Nogxina said the department was engaging with diamond producers to find an alternative way for the SDT to operate other than straightforward market value “as we cannot compromise on the workability and viability” of the institution . However, no amendments to the governing law were being contemplated .

The committee also heard that purchasing diamonds on a “run-off mine” basis as envisaged in the legislation had also posed challenges. “The goods tended to be predominantly smaller and this had an impact on the trade in that only the larger clients could buy such goods,” a departmental report to the committee noted.

The treasury gave the body R35 million to start its business and it has also received money from the Industrial Development Corporation, but this has not been enough to buy diamonds in sufficient quantities.
 
Singaporeans will LOVE this web site it is called FT.COM!

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/eeeeae9c-b4fc-11dd-b780-0000779fd18c.html?nclick_check=1

Gem cuts back as diamond price falls

By William MacNamara

Published: November 18 2008 00:21 | Last updated: November 18 2008 00:21

Gem Diamonds, the Aim-traded owner of a white diamond mine in Lesotho, has warned of operational cutbacks and a possible annual loss as the plunge in diamond prices takes its toll.

The miner will focus on the high-value Letseng mine and cut most exploration activity, reflecting a trend across commodity companies known as “high-grading” – or dropping everything but the most profitable operations to conserve cash as commodity prices fall.

Gem said on Monday that the average diamond sales price at Letseng fell from $2,512 a carat in the first half of the year to $1,557 in the third quarter and $1,382 in the fourth quarter thus far.

Although the value of Letseng’s diamonds are far higher than industry averages, the 11 per cent quarter-to-quarter decline is an indication of the recent loss in value in the non-exchange-traded stones. Consumer cutbacks in jewellery spending are behind the fall, alongside a freeze in diamond banking that prevents traditional buyers from taking on stock in centres such as Antwerp.

Industry leaders De Beers and Alrosa have both started to cut production this month in response to falling prices.

Gem indicated it would mothball its low-margin Cempaka mine in Indonesia, curtail production at part of its Ellendale mine in Australia and cut exploration in Democratic Republic of Congo and Central African Republic. Such measures, it said, were intended to make the company profitable next year if diamond prices remained depressed.

But it noted its 2008 performance “will be significantly lower than our expectations in August ... and could result in a loss for the full year.” Such a loss would erase first-half pre-tax profit of $23.8m (£16.2m).

Glenn Turner, chief commercial director, joined other industry executives by stressing the fundamentals of the industry were sound, with demand continuing to outpace supply over the long term. “This is a glitch in an upward trend,” he said. “Once the world’s economies get back into equilibrium, the trend in diamond prices will pick up again.”

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2008
 
http://www.thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=3&ContentID=109183

Sotheby’s fails to sell three top diamonds

20th November 2008, 19:15 WST

Sotheby’s failed to sell three of the top diamonds offered in a Geneva auction of jewels following a five-week decline in prices for such gems.

Sotheby’s had put stones up for sale such as a 10.48 carat flawless deep blue diamond valued at $6 million to $9 million.

The top price for an item at the sale was $1.3 million for an eight carat pink diamond ring, said an e-mailed statement.

Three contemporary art sales in New York last week disappointed art dealers by failing to reach their estimated revenue, raising concern among auction houses that demand for high-price goods may be wavering.

The Rapaport Diamond Trade Index dropped 9.4 per cent in the five weeks to November 18.

“The diamond market is currently in a phase of transition and it will probably not be clear where it is headed until the end of the year,” David Bennett, Sotheby’s chairman for its European and Middle Eastern jewellery business, said in the statement.

About 39 per cent of the lots offered in the Sotheby’s auction went unsold.

Sotheby’s said the sale totalled $14.8 million.

London-based Christie’s is holding a rival jewellery auction today in Geneva.

BLOOMBERG
 
http://uk.biz.yahoo.com/081120/214/iax3h.html

Broker Recommendations
Thursday November 20, 10:44 AM
Broker snap: Credit crunch to hit Gem Diamonds

LONDON (ShareCast) - Even the diamond sector is not immune from the credit crunch, Citigroup (NYSE: C - news) said as it cut its rating on Gem Diamonds
(Advertisement)
(LSE: GEMD.L - news) to 'hold' from 'buy'.

It also slashed its target price on the firm to 250p from 700p.

While the broker sees long-term value in Gem Diamonds' Letseng Mine in Lesotho, it expects the miner to be hit hard by lower prices in the short-term.

"The market has little appetite for value at present and the prospect of depressed earnings in '09 and continued weakness in diamond prices over the next Six (Stockholm: ECOV-B.ST - news) to 12 months is likely to hold back the shares," Citi said.
 
From production to marketing

The whole diamond industry is a scam

 
Well, diamonds do not really have a value, so it doesn't really matter.
Industrial diamonds which have a use is cheap. The ornamental ones
are really just a very good marketing ploy thru the ages.

Many rich people held diamond in huge amount to preserve asset values. LKY could be one of them. In vaults of Swiss banks & LKY's Bank Hub, there are many such safe deposit boxes. They belong to the very rich and criminals and spies and corrupted government's high officers. These news shows that they are now burnt!
 
Shit! Now I am deeply screwed. I filed divorce and was thinking of taking my wedding ring to pawn shop soon. Now I can forget it? Money not enough to pay lawyer - how? Must sell backside ah? :(:eek:
 
I am fucking heng ah...... last year one of the Diamond maker company invited me to join their firm, rejected them once but they thought salary offered too low, so they counter offer again around 2.3% more than my current salary.

After careful consideration, I gambled to reject their employment offer.

Guess my company business downfall will not be as bad as diamond retailer.

Greed failed to conquer my head at least.
 
Many rich people held diamond in huge amount to preserve asset values. LKY could be one of them. In vaults of Swiss banks & LKY's Bank Hub, there are many such safe deposit boxes. They belong to the very rich and criminals and spies and corrupted government's high officers. These news shows that they are now burnt!

These days there is almost nothing safe to hold the fat cats' funds.

Diamond / Gold are not able to safely reserve values, banks are risky, bonds & share are the highest risk balloons, even OIL had today dropped below $50. Property is subprimed and a ticking bomb any time to blast.

So I must also say - HUAT AH!
 
Diamond prices fell 30% already this year. And will be worst in the next year!

Huat Ah!

http://tw.news.yahoo.com/article/url/d/a/081119/2/19q2f.html


鑽石暴跌3成 明年會更慘
聯合 更新日期:2008/11/19 16:20 編譯朱小明/綜合報導

鑽石是公認的永恆象徵,不少人用以保值,但金融海嘯令鑽石價格也無法恆久閃耀,已不再是投資者的「頂級」好友。鑽石價格面臨五年來首度下跌,今年普通貨色鑽石的價格預料會下跌三至四成,高檔鑽石的跌幅將更大。

控制全球四成市場的De Beers公司和俄羅斯Alrosa集團等主要鑽石商,和印度、以色列、杜拜和中國的切割師、磨光師、交易商,正在全球「鑽石之都」安特衛普集會,商討如何因應鑽石跌價的問題。安特衛普世界鑽石中心主席阿納爾達指出,業界目前的困境前所未見,「一無市場、二無流動資金、三無需求,更慘的是沒有信心」。

根據鑽石價格指數PolishedPrices.com的數據顯示,8月以來,切割鑽石價格下跌10.8%。未切割天然鑽石價格由每克拉平均2500美元跌至1400美元,跌幅達44%,預計明年跌幅將更甚。

美國人一向是鑽石最大買家,購買量占全球45%,但美國陷入衰退,通常占全年銷售量四成的耶誕節旺季恐怕難以指望。預料明年北美對鑽石的需求量會減少15%,歐洲減少10%,日本也會下跌5%。

受金融海嘯影響,消費市場萎縮,出手闊綽的富豪不再一擲千金購買奢侈品,地位如畢卡索的頂級鑽石也有行無市。

De Beers表示,雖然美國人購買量減少,但中國、印度和中東仍然買氣旺盛,De Beers去年生意僅減少3%至68億美元。但英國Gem Diamonds鑽石開採公司表示,今年第四季鑽石銷售收益顯著下跌,雖然上半年仍有2380萬美元獲利,但預料下半年會把獲利虧光。Gem Diamonds已暫停在剛果的部分開採作業,並停止印尼鑽石礦生產,消息傳出後,該公司股價重挫38%。俄羅斯的Alrosa也已減產40%,以緩和未切割原石供應過剩的情形。

全球鑽石切割業龍頭的印度,下月將暫停原石進口,雖然目前只計畫暫停進口一個月,但80萬人面臨隨時失業的危險。

Polished-Prices.com表示,鑽石業明年第一季恐怕更難過。但並非所有人都看淡前景,高級珠寶店Graff Diamonds創辦人葛拉夫就認為,頂級鑽石十分稀罕,無論是自用抑或投資都一定有市場,價格短期內或有波動,但長遠來說後市仍然看好。

So bad?

It is a sign to show that even the traditionally safe and stable form of longer term preservation of wealth & values had dropped badly in demand. And that it had gone to the extend of production stoppage being the desperate measure necessary to stop price from further falling.

What I read from here is that THERE IS NO MONEY ANY WHERE to be kept even in diamond. Money had evaporated in Wall Street & Oil etc. Further I read that diamond had been sold and dumped on market by huge fund owners who had been keeping their funds all these years, they are cashing out from their very last piggy bank. It is these cashing out which caused diamond supply & demand to be set to unbalanced surplus causing prices to fall and the regular sales being poor.

Situation ahead to be expected could be as bad as something we had never seen since the era of World Wars.
 
The fortunate truth this round is this:

It isn't the poor people that are getting poorer this round - because they already can not get any further poorer.

In this round it is the rich who are getting poorer. Those who were still buying diamond they can not do that any more this round. :D

Ho Ho Ho!
 
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