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Chow Ang Moh Trump Dotard Lan-Lan with North Korean nuke missile inside his anus! Impeach & imprison him! Kim laughing!

SeeFartLoong

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https://www.channelnewsasia.com/new...lks-going-ahead-despite-missile-test-11968422
World Trump says North Korea talks going ahead despite missile test

What appears to be a submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) flies in an undisclosed location in this undated picture released by North Korea's Central News Agency (KCNA). (KCNA via REUTERS)

04 Oct 2019 04:22AM (Updated: 04 Oct 2019 06:26AM)
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WASHINGTON: US President Donald Trump on Thursday (Oct 3) brushed off North Korea's test of a sea-launched ballistic missile, saying that planned nuclear talks with Pyongyang will go ahead.
"They want to talk and we'll be talking to them," Trump told reporters at the White House in his first public reaction to North Korea's claim to have entered a "new phase" with the test of a submarine-launched missile.


"We'll see," Trump added, when asked if the test had gone too far for him.
READ: North Korea, US to hold working-level talks on Oct 5

The launch was by far the most significant since Pyongyang first began a dialogue with Washington in 2018 over pressure to give up its nuclear weapons.
Analysts said the new capability, if confirmed, marks a significant step in boosting that programme.


"We assess that it was a short- to medium-range ballistic missile. And I would say that we have no indication that it was launched from a submarine but rather a sea-based platform," a US military spokesman, Colonel Pat Ryder, told reporters.
Trump has said he sees no problem with a string of short range rocket tests conducted previously by North Korea, while insisting his personal ties with the North's leader Kim Jong Un remain good.
But a proven submarine-based missile capability would take the North's arsenal to a new level, allowing deployment far beyond the Korean peninsula and a second-strike capability in the event of an attack on its military bases.
The launch came with working-level talks between Pyongyang and Washington slated to resume later this week.
A team of North Korean negotiators flew into Stockholm on Thursday ahead of the talks.
READ: North Korea demands security guarantees for nuclear talks
FIRED FROM UNDERWATER
The United Nations Security Council is expected to hold closed-door talks early next week on the latest test, diplomats said.
The talks were requested by Britain, France and Germany, as the European powers push for the world body to keep up pressure on Pyongyang which is under heavy US and UN sanctions over its weapons program.
North Korea is banned from ballistic missile launches by Security Council resolutions.
Photos carried by Pyongyang's official Rodong Sinmun newspaper showed a black and white missile emerging from the water and appearing to shoot into the sky.
The images also showed a small towing vessel next to the missile, which analysts said indicates the test was conducted from a submersible barge rather than an actual submarine, and that the system was in its early stages.
"The new-type ballistic missile was fired in vertical mode" in the waters off Wonsan Bay, the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) reported, identifying the weapon as a Pukguksong-3 and saying it "ushered in a new phase in containing the outside forces' threat."
Ankit Panda of the Federation of American Scientists called it Pyongyang's longest-range-capable solid-fuel missile. Wednesday's launch was "unambiguously the first nuclear-capable missile test since November 2017," Panda said.
The North carried out a successful test of the solid-fuel Pukguksong-1, also known as KN-11, in August 2016, which flew around 482 kilometres.
In July, North Korean state media had published pictures of Kim inspecting a new type of submarine that also showed a poster of the Pukguksong-3 on a wall, fuelling concerns Pyongyang was pushing ahead with an SLBM program.
Tokyo said a part of Wednesday's missile landed in waters within Japan's exclusive economic zone - a 125-mile band around Japanese territory.
US Secretary of Defence Mark Esper spoke to his Japanese counterpart to discuss the launch, Pentagon spokesman Jonathan Hoffman told a press briefing.
"They both agreed that the North Korea tests are unnecessarily provocative and do not set the stage for diplomacy and that North Korea should cease these tests," Hoffman said.
KIM ABSENT
North Korea frequently couples diplomatic overtures with military moves as a way of maintaining pressure on negotiating partners, analysts say, and may believe this weapons system gives it added leverage.
Pyongyang tested what it called a "super-large" rocket launcher last month just hours after the North said it was willing to resume working-level talks with Washington.
Kim Dong-yub, a researcher at the Institute for Far Eastern Studies in Seoul, noted Kim's absence at Wednesday's launch - a rarity as the North Korean leader has been present at all recent weapons tests.
"It's likely not unrelated to the talks between Pyongyang and Washington currently under way," he said, adding that Kim was trying to carry out weapons modernization without jeopardizing dialogue with the US.
Negotiations have been deadlocked since a second summit between Kim and Trump in February ended without a deal.
The two agreed to restart dialogue during an impromptu meeting at the Demilitarised Zone dividing the two Koreas in June, but those talks have yet to materialise.
Source: AFP/de
 

tun_dr_m

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Loyal
China says don't dream on intercepting my HGV nuke missiles, even early warning is next to impossible, because the warhead will never fly straight, it will look like random and at too many times the speed of sound.

https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-10-03/doc-iicezzrq9844972.shtml
中国东风17威胁有多大:别说拦截连预警都非常困难

2019年10月03日 09:10 观察者网



7,099


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装备方队最靓的仔?火箭军东风17导弹首次亮相1/8
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东风17常规导弹,具备全天候、无依托、强突防等特点,可对中近程目标实施精确打击。


“战略常规导弹”(东风-17、长剑-100、东风-26常规型)
东风-17

传统上,东风-17这种射程一千多公里的“中近程常规导弹”被列入战略武器,似乎很奇怪。
但其实——这可不是乱说哦。
在21世纪的今天,实际上传统的战略武器和战术武器的界限正在模糊。
一方面,是美国的B-52、B-2战略轰炸机大量被用于执行战术任务,甚至考虑过使用“三叉戟”D5导弹或者民兵3导弹携带常规弹头执行战术打击任务。
另一方面,中国目前大量装备的精确打击中程和中远程导弹正日益具备战略意义,由于这些导弹能在几分钟内同时摧毁数千个要害目标——换句话来说,在数分钟内可以让整个第一岛链的美国军事基地失能,这种打击效能可以说不亚于核武器。因此实际上这些常规导弹已经具备了战略威慑意义。
目前,对东风-17为代表的高超声速导弹武器系统,别说进行拦截,就是预警都非常困难。也正是因为如此,我国强调这种导弹为常规武器——也就是说,如果对手的天基预警卫星发现了东风-17升空,随即失踪,也不必担心,这不是核武器——虽然如果在一天内看到数百枚东风-17的尾迹,那强敌的亚太基地网也就已经……但这毕竟不是核武器。
在这种情况下,强敌的唯一应对措施只能是发展类似的武器试图形成“恐怖平衡”——然而从现状来看,他们的研制进度相当不理想,也就是说,东风-17导弹给了我国起码5-10年,甚至更长的战略优势窗口。而且,由于实际的地缘因素,强敌即使部署与我方类似的高超导弹系统,也几乎不可能与我方的大量中程、中远程精确打击能力形成对等威慑。
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东风-17导弹首次亮相
这意味着,对手将只能诉诸于核武器——然而这在现代地缘战略中就等于承认自己的劣势 ,因为在两个拥有强大核力量的大国之间,核武器作为一种保卫自己核心利益的手段,其威慑力是可信的;但若一方声称要用核武器保卫一些无关紧要的边缘利益——这是毫无意义的。(参考美国和苏联在古巴导弹危机中的表现即可略知一二)
当然,如何运用这个优势争取更有利的战略态势——那就是决策者对于地缘战略的水平了,所谓“运用之妙,存乎一心”。
因此,作为我国最新型精确远程打击火力的代表,东风-17被列入战略打击力量的行列,就很可以理解了。
东风-17导弹是世界上第一种实际服役的全程滑翔高超声速导弹,此次在国庆70周年阅兵式上的展示,具有极大的震撼性。
这里我们需要解释一下“全程滑翔”的概念,2014年我国首次使用长征-2号火箭发射高超声速滑翔体进行试飞开始,高超声速武器就成为了全国军事爱好者和很多普通民众都耳熟能详的词汇。而与之相伴的,是关于“水漂弹”的传说——然而实际上所谓的“水漂弹弹道”,也就是飞行器在大气层边缘高度反复弹跳,并非高超声速飞行的最佳方案——事实上这种弹道也并非“钱学森弹道”。
所谓“钱学森弹道”的设想,是采用具备高升阻比的飞行器,在再入大气层过程中,并不会被大气层弹出来,而是通过飞行器自身的升力和重力实现平衡,从而做到长距离的滑翔飞行。
而比这更进一步,还可以实现飞行器全程不飞出大气层,而是在大气层内实现弹道改平,并进行加速,达到高超声速滑翔的速度,实现滑翔。
从这个角度考察目前中、俄已经列装的导弹和美国正在研制的此类导弹,只有东风-17是真正的“全程滑翔”导弹。
cb0c-ifmectk6964217.jpg

3f00-ifmectk6964258.jpg

俄罗斯“先锋”导弹据称也采用了滑翔设计,但其滑翔器实际外型并未公开,只公布了一个CG画面
可以说,从东风-17出场开始,“水漂弹”这个概念已经不再是“最先进“概念了。
目前,国内方面,东风-26、东风-16、东风-15B、外贸型M-20导弹,以及正在研制的鹰击-20反舰导弹都属于“水漂弹”,国际上,俄罗斯“伊斯坎德尔”、“匕首”,以及美国在陆军AHW基础上开发的陆、海、空三军各自开发第一代高超声速导弹,均属于“水漂弹”范畴。
“水漂弹”的特点是在再入大气过程中(如“伊斯坎德尔”则是从高层稀薄大气进入相对较为绵密的大气时),弹体产生的升力将导弹抬升到再次脱离大气层,之后弹头再次再入大气,弹跳一次或多次后,有一段较短的时间内出现升力和重力平衡,导弹在大气层内特定高度以很低的下降率高速滑翔飞行的现象——但“水漂弹”身上这个滑翔段较短,远不如升力体构型的导弹。
计较滑翔段长度的意义在于,进行平衡滑翔的时候,可以在气动舵面控制下,实现横向的机动——简单说就是可以转弯,而高超声速飞行器难以拦截和预测飞行轨迹的最关键之处就在于这个横向机动能力。
当然,俄罗斯的“先锋”,美国空军AGM-183A ARRW导弹也都要采用升力体滑翔器技术,但与我国DF-17(以及之后将要发展的在DF-26\DF-31导弹基础上发展的新滑翔弹)相比,这些导弹也是要将飞行器射出大气层,然后在重返大气层过程中进入滑翔。这就意味着导弹仍有一段要离开大气层,这为对手发展太空拦截和侦测导弹可能飞行方向等留下了一定的空间。而我国采用的是大气层内起滑技术——也就是说,导弹在上升到预定高度后,关闭发动机,靠自身重力实现转弯,使用火箭发动机横向加速达到滑翔速度并开始滑翔。这样就把高超声速导弹最后容易被拦截和侦测的一段大气层外飞行也取消掉了,对手将无法从远距离上对其进行侦测,更谈不上拦截了——包括美国人曾经寄予厚望的所谓“上升段拦截”也将无从实施——除非他们能贴近到导弹发射车头顶上,但那样还不如直接攻击发射车了……
横向机动能力的另一个好处是解决了长期困扰弹道导弹快速反应能力的重要难题——横向瞄准,传统的弹道导弹需要较长发射准备时间的一个原因就是它必须精确的对准目标的方向,而相比之下,“水漂弹”就已经可以概略对准目标发射——我国M-20导弹外贸的时候强调从停车到发射只需5分钟,这就已经是利用了横向机动能力来修正横向偏差。而到了东风-17,已经几乎不需要考虑对准目标的问题了,反正可以360度转……也就是说理论上它甚至可以攻击发射车后方的目标(实际上当然不会这样干)。
c4c3-ifmectk6964281.jpg

中国第一款列装的全程滑翔战役战术导弹东风-17
5e4f-ifmectk6964294.jpg

中国第一款列装的“水漂弹”东风-15B
正是因为东风-17具备无法拦截,机动灵活,精度高,威力大的特点,在它大量装备后,第一岛链上的所有重要目标将等同裸奔。
也正是因为它的出现,东风-11、东风-15,乃至今后东风-21C和东风-21D导弹都将可以放心“交棒”。
东风-17的成本相对于东风-16要高一些,但是也只有一千多万人民币,这样的成本可以算得上是“白菜价”了——另一边,采用更传统“水漂弹”技术的东风-16自然就更“白菜”了……
因此,我们也就可以想象,如果东风-17导弹的装备数量将达到四位数,那么东风-16装备数量……
其实我们也有个参考,美国的“战斧”导弹,90年代的美军采购价为100万美元,到90年代末一度降低到45万美元,但随着美元汇率变动等因素,其价格在2010年前后已经恢复到100万美元/枚,而到今天,这个价格已经达到了200万美元。
f91c-ifmectk6964318.jpg

“水漂弹”采用的是桑格尔弹道或者典型的钱学森弹道,而东-17为代表的全程滑翔弹,采用水平起滑,连大气层都不必飞出,是对钱学森弹道的进一步发展,代表了人类高超声速滑翔飞行技术目前的最高境界
4b83-ifmectk6964357.jpg

1947年,当时担任美国陆军上校的钱学森提出了钱学森弹道的设想,当时他想象的是从纽约直接飞往巴黎的高超声速民航机
我们且不考虑美元和人民币购买力问题,仅考虑汇率,东风-17的价格和最新版的战斧BLOCK IV相似。

而美军装备了多少“战斧”导弹呢——4500发(发生冲突消耗多少就会下订单补充多少,确保储存数量为这个数字,这也就是为什么每次美国对外动武,雷西昂公司的股价就会上扬)。
由于“战斧”导弹是美国唯一列装的中远程战役\战术导弹,我们差不多可以认为这个数字是美国经过论证的,应对全球大规模冲突所需要的基础的战术导弹数量。
从这个角度考量,为了应对强敌,中国的陆基\海基战役战术的总体作战效能,自然不应该亚于美国的“战斧”——事实上考虑到美国在很多领域的优势,为了将其抵消,火箭军战役战术导弹为了建立“不对称优势”,总体效能应该大大超过“战斧”才对。
东风-17、东风-16作为东风-11A和东风-15B\C系列的换代产品,装备总数可能比这两种老弹增加不少。这两种导弹射程均超过1000公里,突防能力、打击精度等方面也相当惊人,再加上东风(长剑)-100超音速巡航导弹和继续服役的东风(长剑)-10巡航导弹(技术水平相当于“战斧),总体作战效能要比美国4500枚“战斧‘高一个档次是不成问题的。




How big is China's Dongfeng 17 threat: don't say it is very difficult to intercept and even warn
October 03, 2019 09:10 Observer Network
7,099
The most awkward of the equipment team? Rocket Army Dongfeng 17 missile debuted 1/8
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The Dongfeng 17 conventional missile has the characteristics of all-weather, no support, strong penetration and so on, and can accurately strike the medium and short-range targets.

"Strategic conventional missiles" (Dongfeng-17, Changjian-100, Dongfeng-26 conventional type)

Dongfeng-17

Traditionally, Dongfeng-17, a medium- and short-range conventional missile with a range of more than 1,000 kilometers, has been included in strategic weapons. It seems strange.

But in fact - this is not a mess.

Today, in the 21st century, the boundaries between traditional strategic and tactical weapons are actually blurred.

On the one hand, the US B-52 and B-2 strategic bombers were used extensively to carry out tactical missions, even considering the use of the Trident D5 missile or the militia 3 missile carrying conventional warheads to perform tactical strike missions.

On the other hand, China's current large-scale precision strike medium-range and medium-range missiles are increasingly strategic, as these missiles can destroy thousands of critical targets simultaneously in a matter of minutes – in other words, in a matter of minutes The US military base of the entire first island chain is disabled, and this kind of strike effectiveness can be said to be no less than nuclear weapons. So in fact these conventional missiles already have a strategic deterrent.

At present, the high-sonic missile weapon system represented by Dongfeng-17, not to mention interception, is very difficult to warn. It is precisely because of this that China emphasizes that such a missile is a conventional weapon—that is, if the opponent’s space-based early warning satellite discovers that the Dongfeng-17 is launched and then disappears, there is no need to worry, this is not a nuclear weapon – although if I saw hundreds of Dongfeng-17 trails in one day, and the strong enemy's Asia-Pacific base network has already been... but this is not a nuclear weapon.

In this case, the only countermeasure against strong enemies can only be to develop similar weapons to try to form a “terror balance” – but from the current situation, their development progress is rather unsatisfactory, that is, the Dongfeng-17 missile gives At least 5-10 years, even longer strategic advantage window in China. Moreover, due to the actual geopolitical factors, even if a strong enemy missile system similar to ours is deployed, it is almost impossible to form a confrontational deterrence with our large number of medium-range and medium-range precision strike capabilities.

Dongfeng-17 missile debut

This means that opponents will only be able to resort to nuclear weapons – but this is tantamount to recognizing one's disadvantages in modern geostrategy, because between two big powers with strong nuclear power, nuclear weapons serve as a core interest. Means, their deterrence is credible; but if one party claims to use nuclear weapons to defend some insignificant marginal interests - this is meaningless. (Refer to the performance of the US and the Soviet Union in the Cuban Missile Crisis.)

Of course, how to use this advantage to strive for a more favorable strategic situation - that is, the level of decision-makers for geostrategic, the so-called "use of the wonderful, one heart."

Therefore, as the representative of China's latest precision long-range strike firepower, Dongfeng-17 is listed as a strategic strike force, it is very understandable.

The Dongfeng-17 missile is the world's first practical full-course gliding hypersonic missile. This demonstration on the 70th anniversary of the National Day military parade is extremely shocking.

Here we need to explain the concept of "full gliding". In 2014, China used the Long March-2 rocket to launch a hypersonic glider for flight test. The hypersonic weapon became a familiar term for military enthusiasts and many ordinary people. Accompanied by this is the legend about the "water float" - but in fact the so-called "water drift trajectory", that is, the aircraft repeatedly bounces at the edge of the atmosphere, not the best solution for hypersonic flight - the fact This kind of trajectory is not "Qian Xuesen's trajectory."

The so-called "Qian Xuesen trajectory" is based on the idea of using an aircraft with a high lift-to-drag ratio. It will not be ejected by the atmosphere during the re-entry of the atmosphere, but by the lift and gravity of the aircraft itself, thus achieving long-distance Gliding flight.

Further than this, it is also possible to realize that the aircraft does not fly out of the atmosphere during the whole process, but to achieve ballistic leveling in the atmosphere and accelerate it to achieve the speed of hypersonic gliding and achieve gliding.

From this perspective, the missiles already installed in China and Russia and the missiles being developed by the United States are inspected. Only Dongfeng-17 is a true "full-glide" missile.

The Russian "Pioneer" missile is also said to have adopted the gliding design, but the actual appearance of its glider is not disclosed, only a CG picture has been released.

It can be said that since the appearance of Dongfeng-17, the concept of "water drift" is no longer the "most advanced" concept.

At present, domestically, Dongfeng-26, Dongfeng-16, Dongfeng-15B, foreign trade M-20 missiles, and the Eagle -20 anti-ship missiles being developed are all "water drift", internationally, Russia "Is Kandel, the "dagger", and the first generation of hypersonic missiles developed by the three armies of the land, sea and air developed by the United States on the basis of the Army AHW are all in the category of "water drift".

The "water drift" is characterized by the re-entry into the atmosphere (such as "Iskander" is from the thin atmosphere of the upper level into the relatively dense atmosphere), the lift generated by the missile lifts the missile to the atmosphere again. After that, the warhead re-enters the atmosphere again. After one or more bounces, there is a short period of time in which the lift and gravity balance occur. The missile glides at a high speed at a certain altitude in the atmosphere at a high rate of decline—but “water drifting” The gliding section of the bomb is shorter, far less than the missile of the lift body configuration.

The significance of calculating the length of the gliding section is that when balancing gliding, lateral maneuvering can be achieved under the control of the aerodynamic rudder surface—in short, it can be turned, and the most critical point for the hypersonic vehicle to intercept and predict the flight trajectory is It lies in this lateral maneuverability.

Of course, the Russian "pioneer", the US Air Force AGM-183A ARRW missile must also adopt the lift glider technology, but with the development of China's DF-17 (and the DF-26\DF-31 missile to be developed later) Compared to the new gliders, these missiles also project the aircraft out of the atmosphere and then enter the gliding process as they return to the atmosphere. This means that the missile still has a period of time to leave the atmosphere, which leaves a certain space for the opponent to develop space interception and detect the possible flight direction of the missile. In China, the anti-skid technology in the atmosphere is adopted—that is, after the missile has risen to a predetermined height, the engine is turned off, the turning is achieved by its own gravity, and the rocket engine is used to accelerate the gliding speed and start gliding. This will eliminate the extra-atmospheric flight that the hypersonic missile is finally intercepted and detected. The opponent will not be able to detect it from a distance, let alone intercept it - including the high hopes that Americans have placed. The so-called "rising section interception" will also be impossible to implement - unless they can get close to the top of the missile launcher, but it is not as good as attacking the launch vehicle directly...

Another benefit of lateral maneuverability is that it solves the important problem that has long plagued the rapid response capability of ballistic missiles - lateral aiming. One reason that traditional ballistic missiles require longer launch preparation time is that they must be precisely aligned with the target direction. In contrast, the "water drift" can already be roughly targeted to the target launch - China's M-20 missile trade emphasizes that it takes only 5 minutes from parking to launch, which is already using lateral maneuverability to correct the landscape. deviation. And when it comes to Dongfeng-17, there is almost no need to consider the problem of aiming at the target. Anyway, it can be rotated 360 degrees...that is to say, in theory, it can even attack the target behind the launch vehicle (in fact, of course it will not do this).

China's first full-scale gliding campaign tactical missile Dongfeng-17

China's first "water drift" Dongfeng-15B

It is precisely because Dongfeng-17 has the characteristics of being unable to intercept, flexible, high precision and high power. After it is heavily equipped, all the important targets on the first island chain will be streaking.

It is also because of its emergence, Dongfeng-11, Dongfeng-15, and so far Dongfeng-21C and Dongfeng-21D missiles will be able to rest assured that "crossing the bar."

The cost of Dongfeng-17 is higher than that of Dongfeng-16, but it is only over RMB 10 million. This kind of cost can be regarded as “cabbage price” – on the other hand, it adopts more traditional “water drift” technology. Dongfeng-16 is naturally more "cabbage"...

Therefore, we can imagine that if the number of Dongfeng-17 missiles will reach four digits, then the number of Dongfeng-16 equipment...

In fact, we also have a reference. The US "Tomahawk" missile, the US military purchase price in the 1990s was 1 million US dollars, and was reduced to 450,000 US dollars in the late 1990s, but with the changes in the US dollar exchange rate, its price in 2010 It has recovered to $1 million/piece before and after, and today, this price has reached $2 million.

The "water drift" uses the Sanggel trajectory or the typical Qian Xuesen trajectory, while the East -17 represents the whole glider. It uses horizontal skidding and does not have to fly out of the atmosphere. It is a further development of Qian Xuesen's trajectory. The highest state of human hypersonic gliding flight technology

In 1947, Qian Xuesen, then a US Army colonel, proposed the idea of Qian Xuesen's trajectory, when he imagined a hypersonic civil aircraft flying directly from New York to Paris.

We do not consider the issue of the purchasing power of the US dollar and the renminbi. We only consider the exchange rate. The price of Dongfeng-17 is similar to the latest version of the Tomahawk BLOCK IV.

And how many "Tomahawk" missiles the US military is equipped with - 4,500 rounds (how much will be added to the order when the conflict is consumed, to ensure that the number of stocks is this number, which is why every time the US forces use force, the stock price of Reseon Will rise up).

Since the Tomahawk missile is the only medium- and long-range battle/tactical missile in the United States, we can almost assume that this number is the number of tactical missiles that the United States has argued to deal with the need for a large-scale global conflict.

From this point of view, in order to deal with strong enemies, the overall operational effectiveness of China's land-based/sea-based battle tactics should naturally not be compared to the US “tomahawk” – in fact, taking into account the advantages of the United States in many fields, in order to To offset this, in order to establish an "asymmetric advantage", the rocket tactical tactical missile should be much more effective than the "Tomahawk".

Dongfeng-17 and Dongfeng-16 are the replacement products of Dongfeng-11A and Dongfeng-15B\C series. The total number of equipment may increase a lot compared with these two old bombs. Both missiles have a range of more than 1,000 kilometers, and the penetration capability and the accuracy of the strike are also quite amazing. Together with the Dongfeng (Long Sword)-100 supersonic cruise missile and the Dongfeng (Long Sword)-10 cruise missile that continues to serve ( The technical level is equivalent to the "Tomahawk", and the overall combat effectiveness is not a problem higher than the US 4,500 "Tomahawks".
 

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https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/jssd/2019-10-03/doc-iicezueu9816087.shtml
美军专家评中国东风17:全球没有一个国家能够拦截

美军专家评中国东风17:全球没有一个国家能够拦截



2,511

作者署名:兵工科技
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装备方队最靓的仔?火箭军东风17导弹首次亮相1/8
查看原图图集模式
东风17常规导弹,具备全天候、无依托、强突防等特点,可对中近程目标实施精确打击。


在国庆70周年阅兵式上,“东风”17导弹首次公开亮相。这款新型常规导弹具备全天候、无依托、强突防的特点,可对中近程目标实施精确打击,无论是导弹性能还是突防能力,都较其他型号常规导弹有了很大提升。“东风”17射程能够达到1800至2500公里。该导弹在设计上与此前的有些不同,“东风”17加装了超音速滑翔器,这意味着它在飞行速度上要远远超出此前的导弹,同时能够借助在高速飞行过程中产生的机动有效避开导弹防御系统的拦截。
从外形上看,“东风”17 导弹是一种典型的高升阻比的升力体结构,“东风”17导弹头部异常尖锐,弹体细长比很大,头部与弹体之间圆滑过渡,其截面又不像一般旋成体结构导弹一样为圆锥形,其头部以下结构平坦,近乎成一个平面,截面就如战斗机一样轻薄,因此,它虽然没有常规飞行器的主要升力部件——机翼,但是利用巧妙的三维设计,形成一个高升力体的翼身融合结构,这种升力体结构布局有助于提高飞行器的升阻比,相同初始速度下,升阻比越高,飞行器纵向滑跃距离越远,横向机动和空防能力越强。这有利于“东风”17导弹飞行器获得较大的内部空间,同时具备良好的气动性能。
当然,为了在再入段保持足够稳定性和操控性,“东风”17导弹的弹体中下部安装有两片小翼,背部和腹下也垂直安装有两片小翼,这些小翼分别充当一般飞行器中襟翼和方向舵的作用,用于横向和纵向的操稳性。

从此前“东风”17试射时,国内外媒体的相关报道来看,“东风”17采用了一种高超声速无动力滑翔飞行器,作战行动时,“东风”17导弹由助推加速器带入到几十千米的太空中,然后助推器和弹头分离,弹头冲出大气层并做自由段飞行,在这期间,“东风”17将利用弹上的多台姿态控制发动机和气动舵面,实时进行姿态的控制。同一般弹道导弹再入段无动力飞行不同,“东风”17弹头在再入段具备良好的机动能力和可操控性,因此呈现出一种非常诡异的飞行轨迹,就是著名的“钱学森”弹道,即利用飞行器升力实现在大气层中的“跳跃”式滑行,很多人形象地称这个过程为“打水漂”。这种导弹凭借着高机动性与超高的末端速度,使其很难被现有的反导系统所拦截,具有巨大的战略威慑价值。
在阅兵式结束后,就有美国军事专家分析称,中国“东风”17使用了高超声速滑翔技术,在再入大气层的前后进行滑翔变轨飞行,可以躲避美军的所有常规反导,世界上没有一个国家能够拦截。



US military experts comment on China Dongfeng 17: no country in the world can intercept
US military experts comment on China Dongfeng 17: no country in the world can intercept
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Author's signature: Ordnance Technology
The most awkward of the equipment team? Rocket Army Dongfeng 17 missile debuted 1/8
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The Dongfeng 17 conventional missile has the characteristics of all-weather, no support, strong penetration and so on, and can accurately strike the medium and short-range targets.

On the 70th anniversary of the National Day military parade, the "Dongfeng" 17 missile was first publicly unveiled. This new type of conventional missile has the characteristics of all-weather, unsupported and strong penetration. It can accurately strike the medium and short-range targets. Whether it is missile performance or penetration capability, it has greatly improved compared with other conventional missiles. The "Dongfeng" 17 can reach 1800 to 2500 kilometers. The missile is somewhat different in design from the previous one. The "Dongfeng" 17 is equipped with a supersonic glider, which means that it is far faster than the previous missiles, and can also be used to maneuver during high-speed flight. Effectively avoid the interception of the missile defense system.

From the appearance point of view, the "Dongfeng" 17 missile is a typical lift structure with high lift-to-drag ratio. The head of the "Dongfeng" 17 missile is extremely sharp, the slender body is slender, and the transition between the head and the projectile is smooth. The cross section is not conical like a general-spinning structure missile. The structure below the head is flat, almost flat, and the cross section is as thin as a fighter. Therefore, although it does not have the main lifting part of the conventional aircraft - the wing But with the clever three-dimensional design, a wing body fusion structure with a high-lift body is formed. This lifting body structure helps to improve the lift-to-drag ratio of the aircraft. At the same initial speed, the higher the lift-to-drag ratio, the longitudinal jump of the aircraft. The further the distance, the stronger the lateral maneuvering and air defense capabilities. This is conducive to the "East Wind" 17 missile aircraft to obtain a larger internal space, while having good aerodynamic performance.

Of course, in order to maintain sufficient stability and maneuverability in the reentry section, the "Dongfeng" 17 missile has two small wings mounted on the lower part of the body, and two small wings are installed vertically on the back and the abdomen. The role of flaps and rudders in general aircraft for lateral and longitudinal stability.

From the previous "Dongfeng" 17 test shots, the domestic and foreign media reports that the "Dongfeng" 17 uses a hypersonic speedless unpowered glider. During combat operations, the "Dongfeng" 17 missile is brought in by the booster accelerator. In the tens of kilometers of space, then the booster and the warhead are separated, the warhead rushes out of the atmosphere and does the free-segment flight. During this period, the "Dongfeng" 17 will use multiple attitudes on the missile to control the engine and the aerodynamic rudder surface. Perform posture control. Different from the unpowered flight of the general ballistic missile reentry segment, the "Dongfeng" 17 warhead has good maneuverability and maneuverability in the reentry segment, so it presents a very strange flight path, which is the famous "Qian Xuesen" trajectory. That is to say, using the lift of the aircraft to achieve "jumping" sliding in the atmosphere, many people vividly call this process "watering". With its high maneuverability and ultra-high end speed, this kind of missile is difficult to be intercepted by the existing anti-missile system and has great strategic deterrent value.

After the military parade ended, some US military experts analyzed that China’s “Dongfeng” 17 used hypersonic gliding technology to fly gliding orbit before and after re-entry into the atmosphere, avoiding all conventional anti-missile forces of the US military. A country can intercept.
 

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Rocket-man!

Rocket-man!

Rocket-man!

Kim Jong Nuke!

Kim Jong Nuke!

Kim Jong Nuke!




https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/world/2019-10-03/doc-iicezueu9801990.shtml
朝鲜宣布成功试射新型北极星3潜射弹道导弹(图)

2019年10月03日 09:01 央视



113

原标题:朝鲜成功试射新型潜艇弹道导弹
△图片来源:朝中社
△图片来源:朝中社

据朝中社3日报道,朝鲜国防科学院2日上午在朝鲜东海元山湾水域成功进行新型潜艇弹道导弹“北极星-3”型试射。报道称,这次试射的成功是在遏制外部势力对朝鲜的威胁,进一步加强国家的自卫军事力量方面打开新局面的重大成果。(央视记者 董海涛)

North Korea announces successful test of new Polaris 3 submarine-launched ballistic missile (Figure)
October 03, 2019 09:01 CCTV
113

Original title: North Korea successfully tested new submarine ballistic missile
△Source: Chaozhongshe △ Image source: Chaozhongshe

According to a report by the Korean Central News Agency on the 3rd, the Korean National Defense Academy successfully conducted a new type of submarine ballistic missile "North Star-3" test in the waters of the East Sea Bay in the East Sea. The report said that the success of this test is a major achievement in opening up a new situation in terms of curbing the threat of external forces against North Korea and further strengthening the country's self-defense military forces. (CCTV reporter Dong Haitao)
 

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China explains more about their Rocket Army nukes displayed at NDP CN-70. Here is a photo taken within the top secret WORLD'S MOST ENORMOUS underground network of NUKE-PROOF TUNNELS called Under-Ground-Great-Walls. From inside there, Rocket Army can shoot anywhere anybody in the world nobody no warhead can shoot them. They are safe and can survive nuke war for years, they have food, water, hospital, nuke energy, military factories, warehouses, greenhouse farms, oxygen from electrolysis of water, they can make missiles and nuke from below. They are able to biuld and launch spare spy and communication satellites, launched from inside like ICMB! Trying to win nuke war against them is impossible.

https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-10-04/doc-iicezueu9968506.shtml
东风-31AG导弹可无依托发射 射程高达一万两千公里

东风-31AG导弹可无依托发射 射程高达一万两千公里



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(文/观察者网专栏作者 席亚洲)
“正义从不迟到”——快速反应的东风-26与东风-31AG
在这次的国庆阅兵中,东风-26导弹再次亮相,与2015年胜利阅兵上解说词强调“具备打击大型水面舰艇目标能力”相比,这次阅兵式上关于这种导弹的解说词和字幕强调了该导弹“核常兼备”的特性。
在事情过去两年后我们也不必讳言,2017年中印边境对峙期间,我国进行了东风-26导弹的试射。当时笔者曾在文章里说我们可以用该导弹打击印度唯一能发射“烈火”导弹的卡拉姆岛试验场,从而解除印度中程导弹的威胁——如果配合前出的东风-16导弹、“翔龙”侦察机,那么印度核威慑的主要装备“大地”短程地对地导弹也会来不及发射,在它停车,加注准备发射的漫长时间里,东风-16能把它炸掉三四次吧。
我国向国际社会承诺不首先使用核武器——但是让我们设想一个极端状况:印度在卡拉姆岛上开始进行“烈火”导弹的发射准备,并且可以确定这将是向中国核心地区发射核弹头。那么携带核弹头的东-26,是要等敌人的导弹落地爆炸并造成我国巨大损失之后再进行还击吗?
这个假想问题没有成为现实,但我们仍然可以考虑。
d1ac-ifmectm0191232.jpg

东风-26具备快速反应能力,只要中央一声令下,可以在几分钟内将核弹头送到敌人头上
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印度迄今为止唯一号称“实用化”的中程核导弹“烈火2”实际上却没有开发相应的机动发射系统,而是每次都从大家耳熟能详的卡拉姆岛发射场升空
我只能说,在最坏的情况下,东风-26至少可以在最短的时间内,对敌人施加惩戒。
作为一种核导弹,东-26和比它更大,射程更远的东风-31AG一样,主要的“亮点”在于随处能听,时刻能打,具备快速反应能力。
这种“快速反应”能力,一方面体现在这两种导弹系统总体设计上,其引导、测地、目标信息输入、弹头等各方面都进行了精心设计,来提高反应速度。
在这些系统的配合下,早期机动式导弹发射准备过程中耗时较长的校准陀螺仪、测地、目标信息输入等环节都被缩短到数分钟,甚至一分钟之内。
而且导弹本身也进行了专门的设计,自动化程度更高,发射前准备工作得以大幅度简化。
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目前具备无依托发射能力的我军导弹包括东风-21D、东风-16、东风-17、东风-31AG、东风-26,这其中东-31AG、东-26和东-21D发射筒后部有大型橡胶缓冲层
而这里面从外观上能够看得出来的,具备“无依托发射”能力的导弹的特征就是发射筒后部的巨大橡胶垫子。
在1999年时登场的东风-21和东风-31导弹的发射筒后部,是三个支撑脚,来确保导弹发射筒的姿态正确,而这种支撑脚需要配合专门建造的发射阵地,阵地需要进行精确测量,具备硬化地面——这是为了简化导弹发射前的准备工作,提高反应速度——导弹发射车只要按照预设阵地上绘制的标线停好,就完成了这些准备工作。
尽管这类预设阵地可以采用很多技术手段进行隐蔽,但是毕竟其施工建造都不可避免的要暴露在强敌定时过顶的卫星之下,问题只在于他们的判读人员(当然现在可能还用上了大数据AI识别)是否注意到——也就是说这些阵地是否暴露,不是我们能控制的,事实上我们应该默认大部分预设阵地是敌方已经注意到的,他们只是不能确定导弹何时抵达阵地并进行发射而已。
必要时候,强敌甚至可以用常规弹头来攻击我方战略导弹的预设发射阵地,来破坏我方的快速报复能力。
正是因为这种危险的存在,“无依托发射”能力非常有必要——当然了,橡胶垫只是外观识别特征,而不是“无依托发射”的真正关键,所谓“功夫在幕后”嘛。
东风-26导弹在我军核威慑体系中,任务是取代东风-4导弹——传统上来说,东风-4导弹主要是部署在我国西部地区,威慑莫斯科。进入90年代后它又被部署到东南方向威慑关岛基地和亚太地区目标。而东-26,则正如我们前面提到的,在中俄背靠背战略合作关系,威慑莫斯科已经不是主要任务,不过现在我们又增加了一项威慑印度的任务——虽然网上大家开玩笑说,我们被美国上千枚弹头瞄准,不在乎多印度那一点儿,但实际上国家当然不能无视这种威胁。正好东风-26以前威慑莫斯科的部署地点,向南发射也正好可以覆盖印度大部分目标,那就省得建设新的基地了,多准备几组目标数据就是了。
东风-26毕竟是2000年后研制的新型导弹,而我国90年代耗费巨资建设规模宏大的“长城工程”所围绕的主要装备——东风-31,作为第一代机动式固体燃料洲际导弹,它的各方面性能还是比较“基础”的。东风-31导弹最初服役时射程略超过8000公里,只能覆盖美国西海岸部分地区,其“红岩“牵引车的越野性能也近乎没有,快速反应能力较差。因此只能依托”长城工程“进行部署,依靠地下掩体保证生存性,而发射则要依靠掩体周围多个真真假假的预筑发射阵地,目标数据也是事先装订。
3449-ifmectm0191133.jpg

“长城工程”地下掩体设施一角
在2009年国庆阅兵上展示的东风-31A导弹,相比东风-31增加了射程,其射程已经达到了一万多公里,可以从我国东北地区发射攻击美国纽约、华盛顿等要害目标。不过其生存性、灵活性,快速反应能力并无本质提高。
而东-31AG正是为了解决这一问题而设计,它采用了与东-41同系列的8轴重型越野发射车,具备无依托发射能力。
对于东-31AG来说,“长城工程”掩体已经只是一个“车库”,战时它将在我国西北、东北的莽莽雪原、丛林戈壁之中停停走走,充分利用地形地物隐藏机动,使敌人无法先发制人将其消灭。
一举将我国的洲际弹道导弹的生存性提高到和俄罗斯“白杨M”导弹相当的水平。
那么既然说到这里了,我们就要谈一下东风-31导弹的射程与载荷问题。
与俄罗斯相比,我国对美国战略威胁的难度更高,因为国土纬度原因,即使利用北极航线,从我国境内相对安全的纵深地区向美国发射核导弹,要覆盖其全境,射程要达到11000公里以上。
而另一方面,我国的核战略是不首先使用核武器——这意味着我国核武器的主要使命是战略威慑,这也就意味着我国的核弹头,当量必须够大。
叶剑英元帅当年在视察空投氢弹的时候表示:“300万吨,杀人放火够了“。就是这个意思,我国的核武器必须具备一举摧毁敌方超级城市、人口中心,或者大范围摧毁敌工农业设施的能力。
当然后来随着对核武器毁伤效果的认识,各国逐渐认识到,多枚50万吨核弹头空爆,其光辐射相应制造的大范围火灾互相影响形成的火焰风暴,可能是摧毁现代大城市目标最有效的技术手段。
因此美国在“三叉戟D5”导弹上配备了300多公斤重,47万吨当量的W88核弹头,这种弹头的重量\当量比是当代人类核弹头中最高的,也堪称是现代核武器的经典设计。
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W88弹头
目前美国与W88同时装备的还有W76弹头,165公斤,10万吨当量。
“三叉戟D5”导弹可以携带8个W88,或者14个W76弹头。
而该导弹的射程,公开数据是,“轻载状态下12000公里以上,携带最大载荷时7800公里“。
换句话来说,满载8个W88弹头的“三叉戟D5”射程和我国的“巨浪2”遥测弹试射的射程差不多了。
当然,大家都知道美国90年代“考克斯报告”就声称中国已经“偷取”了W88的设计,从而能制造出类似的弹头。
虽然“偷取”的部分实属污蔑,但我们确实拥有了最先进的核弹头设计制造能力却是没错的。
但即使如此,对于我国来说,W76这样的轻量化弹头意义不大,这种弹头的主要任务是攻击敌方核导弹发射井,利用其100米以内的CEP,10万吨弹头足以摧毁大部分发射井了。但如果用来攻击敌方城市目标,还是以W88这样较为“重型”的弹头更好。
而且按照我国的传统,数百万吨级甚至上千万吨的地爆弹头少不了——和苏联当年的设想相同,这类弹头有两个作用,一个是攻击深藏地下的敌方关键设施;另一个是用来制造成千上万吨随风飘散的放射性尘埃,美国的地理环境特点决定,这种攻击方式对于美国的工农业基础的打击效果是最致命的。
那么通过上面这点分析我们可以看到,我国的战略核武器相比于美苏都要更复杂,射程要远,投送重量要大,突防能力要好,还要快速反应。
也正是因为有这么多麻烦,长期以来美国判断中国“真正”能够覆盖美国全境的就是“20枚东风-5A”导弹。至于东风-31,或许因为其射程只能覆盖西海岸,华盛顿的老爷们可能真的觉得这玩意打不到自己头上就不害怕吧……
其实东风-31AG就已经改变了这一状况,该导弹是单弹头设计,但射程足以达到12000公里,也就是足以覆盖华盛顿了。
当然,要真正具备携带4-5个W88水平核弹头(理论上当然也可以携带10个W76水平的轻型弹头,但不会这么干)的东风-41,才真正足以让美国人感到恐惧。不过东风-41我们下文再说。
可以说,东-31AG是我国第一种让对手无法以“先发制人就能消灭”来蒙混过关的洲际导弹——此前的东-31和东-31A要依托“长城工程“,美军对国会解释可以用核弹攻击长城工程出入口和摧毁预设发射阵地,来阻止它们实施攻击。
或者说,我们可以说东-31AG是我国第一种符合美俄STARTS条约对于洲际导弹相关规定条文内容的机动式洲际导弹(虽然我国当然不会理会STARTS条约)。
“革命尚未成功,同志仍需努力”——继往开来的巨浪-2
本次阅兵中首次亮相的巨浪-2导弹是我国第一种具备洲际射程的潜射弹道导弹,在它之前,“巨浪1”实际上是一种中程弹道导弹,它的岸基型号就是东风-21,射程只有2000公里。所以当时的092型核潜艇,理论上来说只能威慑一下苏联远东地区。
而巨浪-2的技术,很多都和东风-31同源,两者技术水平相当——不过要将东风-31这么大的一个导弹,“压缩”到能装进094那并不特别“伟岸”的身躯内,还得塞进去12发,这难度还是很高的。
也正是因为如此,“东风-31”导弹90年代就已经研制成功,而巨浪2导弹则一直到2014年才具备了作战能力。
不过也正式因为巨浪2的设计基础是来自于东风-31,它的一些基本技术在今天环境下已经算不上最先进了。根据试射验证,巨浪2的射程为8000公里不到一点(当然其载荷情况就恕不告知了),应该说这并不理想,即使考虑采用W76水平的轻型弹头来尽可能减少投掷重量,增加射程达到11000公里(实际上能不能存疑),也只能从南海堡垒区攻击旧金山、洛杉矶等西海岸城市,这个威慑力就有些弱了。
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巨浪2目前只能说勉强能实现初步的威慑效果,距离理想水平还有距离
战时要让094进入日本海,才能发射正常载荷攻击美国西海岸,或者继续北上到鄂霍次克海,借用俄国核潜艇的发射阵地,来攻击五大湖区部分工业地带。
这样看来,094型和“巨浪2”对于我军来说,更多的还是解决战略核潜艇的有无问题。而且这里面还有一个重要的考虑,就是积累我军战略核潜艇的使用经验,不论是人员、战术、战法方面,也要检验核潜艇本身的设计、制造,下一代核潜艇的设计和研制,很大程度上来说,也要有现役核潜艇的丰富使用经验来支撑。在这个问题上“不怕慢,就怕停“,我国核潜艇在上世纪90年代到21世纪中间一段时间得到的重视程度不足,如今我们经费充足,国家重视,虽然”巨浪2“的射程勉强了一些,那也总可算差强人意,因此装备一个能够维持1-2艘艇在海上值班的战略核潜艇部队规模,还是很有必要的。
当然,这肯定只是一个过渡阶段,目前“巨浪3”导弹研制进程顺利,这种在“巨浪2”基础上改进导弹将终于具备实现从南海堡垒海区威慑美国全境的能力。不过目前“巨浪3”只能从专用试验潜艇32型上发射,而094的发射筒尺寸无法容纳。这就有一些尴尬了。
未来究竟是对094进行改动,加高龟背以容纳巨浪3导弹,还是等待目前还没有完成设计的新一代核潜艇096呢?这可能也将是一个很值得关注的问题。
“一千次抗议,也不如战略轰炸机振动翅膀——如果带上核导弹就更好了”
——只差一步未能亮相的某型空射远程核导弹
在现代超级大国的战略核威慑体系中,空基核力量作为“三叉戟”的一枝,也是非常重要的装备,而这方面我国长期以来是空白。
空基核力量,或者说战略轰炸机在现代核威慑体系中,主要承担的是“展示力量”的任务。
当然,“三位一体“的具体分工方面,中美俄都略有不同。
美国的“三位一体”系统中,陆基核力量承担着“先发制人”,凭借精度优势,攻击敌方发射井的任务。(因为美国的战略是首先使用核武器)
而海基核力量在美国这边,“三叉戟D5”导弹性能远优于陆基的民兵3,不仅投掷重量大,威力强,突防能力高,而且还能从靠近敌方海岸的地方发射,出其不意。所以它承担着“第一次突击”和“第二次报复”的双重任务,是美国“争取打赢核战争”的关键装备。(美国海军2013年将所有“战斧”导弹的核弹头退役,从此只剩下“三叉戟”一种核打击手段)
空基核力量,由于STARTS条约限制,主要是通过轰炸机发射的巡航导弹来实现。由于AGM-129隐身巡航导弹维护使用价格过于昂贵,已经退役,目前美军使用的巡航导弹是AGM-86空射巡航导弹,该导弹使用的W80弹头具备25万吨的当量。
此外美国空军还掌握着目前美军主要的战术核武器,B61核炸弹,包括B-2、B-1B,以及各种战术飞机都可以投掷这种重量仅为300公斤的战术核弹。
除此之外美军的空投核炸弹和核导弹均已销毁或转为库存——不过由于美军相比俄罗斯经费充足,所以据称有一些B-83核炸弹(1.2百万吨当量)仍处于较好的可用状态。
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2018年4月,美国明尼阿波利斯市上空,10家B-2轰炸机和大批KC-135加油机长时间盘旋,这就是战略轰炸机示威行动的一次演练
从这里可以看到,美国空军核武器的主要价值就是展示力量——尽管“战斧”导弹突防能力不强,但确是在局势紧张时刻对对手施加压力的一张牌。至于B-2隐身轰炸机投掷B-61就更是具备潜在的战略价值,因为它完全可以用于攻击对手的发射井,尤其是美国新一代B-61-12精确制导钻地核弹。
相比之下,俄罗斯的海基核力量远不如美国,其新一代“圆锤”导弹几经周折,在最近才终于搞定,但要以“北风之神”和“圆锤”的组合替换老旧的“德尔塔IV”和“轻舟”液体燃料导弹,可能还需要相当的时间。其海基核力量的主要任务就是二次报复。
相比之下,俄罗斯的陆基核力量是其核威慑的主要手段,进攻方面,有SS-18“撒旦“和SS-19,这都是井射导弹,如果对方先发制人容易被摧毁,但如果用于先发制人则很可能消灭对方相当大比例的井射核武器。目前俄罗斯正在更新新一代液体燃料导弹,计划用”萨尔玛特“替代”撒旦“,而部分SS-19则被改进为“先锋”导弹,装备高超声速滑翔弹头。
同时俄罗斯真正寄予厚望的陆基第二次报复力量主要是“白杨”、“白杨M”和“亚尔斯”导弹,在俄罗斯经济上最绝望的90年代,他们仍然咬紧牙关制造了200多枚“白杨”导弹,确保了有效的第二次核反击能力。
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古巴导弹危机期间B-52升空盘旋,准备应对核战
相比之下,俄罗斯的空中核力量地位就和美国差不多,主要依靠亚音速巡航导弹投掷核弹头。
主要发挥战时塑造危机,影响形势走向的作用。
而我国的空基核力量,目前尚属空白。
但原本计划参加此次阅兵,由轰-6N携带的某型空射远程战略导弹就是要填补这个空白。
如果这种导弹装备部队,可以说我国空基核力量将具备比目前海军更有效的威慑能力,因为毕竟美俄的战略轰炸机发射亚音速巡航导弹和核炸弹都是考虑打击敌方军事基地等相对“战术”的目标。
而我国的核战略之下,并不需要战术核武器(事实上我军的常规战术打击效能已经高于传统的战术核武器)——那么所有核武器投掷平台唯一要考虑的问题是要威慑哪个对手的人口中心和工业中心而已。
因此,这种新型空射导弹追求能够攻击美国本土的最大射程也就可以理解了。
实际上,我军的轰-6N除了实际担负二次反击任务,更重要的,其实是和美俄的战略轰炸机一样——展示我方战略决心,展示不畏核战争威胁的最高姿态。
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轰-6N是我国空基核力量的“新生代”,它不会是终点
2018年4月,美国曾经进行B-2轰炸机紧急起飞,大机群在本国上空盘旋的演习——这正是对于战略轰炸机在战时如何使用的一个鲜活演示。



The Dongfeng-31AG missile can be launched without support. The range is up to 12,000 kilometers.
The Dongfeng-31AG missile can be launched without support. The range is up to 12,000 kilometers.
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(Text / Observer Network columnist Xi Asia)

"Justice is never late" - rapid response Dongfeng-26 and Dongfeng-31AG

In this National Day military parade, the Dongfeng-26 missile was unveiled again. Compared with the 2015 victory parade, the commentary emphasized that "the ability to combat large-scale surface ships has the ability to attack." Emphasizes the characteristics of the missile "both nuclear and often".

In the past two years, we have no need to say that during the confrontation between China and India in 2017, China conducted a test of the Dongfeng-26 missile. At the time, the author said in the article that we can use the missile to attack the only Karam Island test site in India that can launch a "fire" missile, thereby lifting the threat of India's medium-range missiles - if it cooperates with the Dongfeng-16 missile, "Xiang" "Dragon" reconnaissance plane, then the main equipment of the Indian nuclear deterrent "earth" short-range ground-to-ground missiles will not be able to launch, and it will be blown up three or four times in the long time when it is parked and raised for launch. .

Our country promises to the international community not to use nuclear weapons first – but let us imagine an extreme situation: India is preparing for the launch of the “Agni” missile on Karam Island, and it is certain that this will be the launch of a nuclear warhead to the core of China. Then the East-26 carrying the nuclear warhead is to wait for the enemy's missile to land and explode and cause huge losses in China before returning it?

This hypothetical problem has not become a reality, but we can still consider it.

Dongfeng-26 has the ability to respond quickly, and the nuclear warhead can be sent to the enemy's head in a matter of minutes.

India’s only so-called “utility” medium-range nuclear missile “Agni 2” has not actually developed a corresponding mobile launch system, but every time it is lifted from the well-known Karam Island launch site.

I can only say that in the worst case, Dongfeng-26 can at least impose disciplinary action on the enemy in the shortest possible time.

As a nuclear missile, Dong-26 is the same as the Dongfeng-31AG, which has a larger range and a longer range. The main "bright spot" is that it can be heard everywhere, can be played at any time, and has rapid response capability.

This kind of "quick response" capability is embodied in the overall design of the two missile systems. Its guidance, geodetic survey, target information input, warhead and other aspects have been carefully designed to improve the response speed.

With the cooperation of these systems, the long-time calibration gyroscope, geodesic, target information input and other links in the early maneuver missile launch preparation process were shortened to several minutes or even one minute.

Moreover, the missile itself has been specially designed to be more automated and the preparation work before launch is greatly simplified.

At present, our military missiles with unsupported launch capability include Dongfeng-21D, Dongfeng-16, Dongfeng-17, Dongfeng-31AG, Dongfeng-26, among which the east-31AG, Dong-26 and Dong-21D launchers have large rear Rubber buffer layer

The missile can be seen from the appearance, and the missile with the ability of "no support launch" is characterized by a huge rubber mat at the back of the launcher.

At the back of the launcher of the Dongfeng-21 and Dongfeng-31 missiles, which were launched in 1999, there are three support feet to ensure that the missile launcher is in the correct posture, and this support foot needs to cooperate with the specially constructed launching position. Accurate measurements, with hardened ground – this is to simplify the preparation of the missile before launch and to increase the speed of the reaction – the missile launch vehicle completes the preparations as long as it is stopped according to the markings drawn on the preset positions.

Although this kind of pre-set position can be concealed by many technical means, after all, its construction and construction are inevitably exposed to the satellites with strong enemy timing. The only problem lies with their interpreters (of course, it may still be used now) Whether the big data AI recognition) noticed—that is, whether these positions are exposed, not what we can control. In fact, we should default that most of the preset positions are already noticed by the enemy. They just can’t determine when the missiles are. Arrived at the position and launched.

When necessary, strong enemies can even use conventional warheads to attack the pre-set launch positions of our strategic missiles to undermine our ability to respond quickly.

It is precisely because of this danger that the "no support launch" capability is very necessary - of course, the rubber mat is only the appearance recognition feature, not the real key to "no support launch", the so-called "Kung Fu behind the scenes".

In the nuclear deterrent system of our military, the Dongfeng-26 missile is the task of replacing the Dongfeng-4 missile. Traditionally, the Dongfeng-4 missile was mainly deployed in the western part of China and deterred Moscow. After entering the 1990s, it was deployed to the southeast direction of the Weihai Guam base and the Asia-Pacific target. And Dong-26, as we mentioned earlier, in the back-to-back strategic partnership between China and Russia, deterrence Moscow is not the main task, but now we have added a mission to deter India - although everyone on the Internet joked that we were Thousands of US warheads are aimed at the United States, and they don’t care much about India. But in reality, the country certainly cannot ignore this threat. Just before the Dongfeng-26 deterrently deployed the location of Moscow, the southward launch can also cover most of India's targets, which saves the construction of new bases. It is enough to prepare several sets of target data.

After all, Dongfeng-26 is a new type of missile developed after 2000, and China’s main equipment around the 1990s, which was heavily invested in the construction of the “Great Wall Project”, Dongfeng-31, as the first generation of mobile solid fuel intercontinental missiles, Its performance in all aspects is relatively "basic". When the Dongfeng-31 missile was first put into service, it had a range of more than 8,000 kilometers and could only cover parts of the west coast of the United States. Its off-road performance of the "Red Rock" tractor was almost non-existent, and its rapid response capability was poor. Therefore, it can only rely on the "Great Wall Project" to deploy, relying on the underground bunker to ensure survivability, and launching depends on a number of real and fake pre-built launch positions around the bunker, the target data is also bound in advance.

The corner of the "Great Wall Project" underground bunker facility

The Dongfeng-31A missile displayed at the National Day military parade in 2009 has increased its range compared to Dongfeng-31. Its range has reached more than 10,000 kilometers, and it can launch targets from the northeastern region of China to attack the United States, New York and Washington. However, its survivability, flexibility, and rapid response ability are not substantially improved.

The East-31AG is designed to solve this problem. It uses the 8-axis heavy-duty off-road launcher in the same series as the East-41, with unsupported launch capability.

For the East-31AG, the "Great Wall Project" bunker is just a "garage". During the war, it will stop and walk in the snowfields and jungle Gobi in the northwest and northeast of China, making full use of the topographic features to hide maneuvering. The enemy cannot preempt the person to destroy it.

In one fell swoop, the survivability of China's intercontinental ballistic missiles has been raised to the level comparable to the Russian "White Poplar M" missile.

So since we are here, we will talk about the range and load of the Dongfeng-31 missile.

Compared with Russia, China’s strategic threat to the United States is more difficult. Because of the latitude of the country, even if the Arctic route is used, nuclear missiles will be launched from the relatively safe deep areas of China to the United States, covering a whole area with a range of 11,000 kilometers. the above.

On the other hand, our nuclear strategy is not to use nuclear weapons first — which means that the main mission of our nuclear weapons is strategic deterrence, which means that our nuclear warheads must be large enough.

When Marshal Ye Jianying inspected the air-dropping hydrogen bomb, he said: "3 million tons, killing and arson is enough." It is this meaning that our nuclear weapons must have the ability to destroy enemy super-cities, population centers, or extensively destroy enemy agricultural facilities.

Of course, with the understanding of the effects of nuclear weapons damage, countries gradually realized that many 500,000 tons of nuclear warheads were air-exploded, and the flame storm formed by the mutual influence of large-scale fires caused by optical radiation may be the most effective to destroy the targets of modern big cities. Technical means.

Therefore, the United States is equipped with more than 300 kilograms of weight and equivalent weight of 470,000 tons of W88 nuclear warheads on the Trident D5 missile. The weight/equivalent ratio of this warhead is the highest among contemporary human nuclear warheads. It is also a classic design of modern nuclear weapons. .

W88 warhead

At present, the United States and W88 are also equipped with W76 warheads, 165 kg, 100,000 tons of equivalent.

The Trident D5 missile can carry eight W88 or 14 W76 warheads.

The missile's range, the open data is, "12,000 km under light load conditions, 7800 km when carrying the maximum load."

In other words, the range of the "Trident D5" with eight W88 warheads and the range of the "Julang 2" telemetry bomb test in China are almost the same.

Of course, everyone knows that the "Cox Report" of the United States in the 1990s claimed that China had "stealed" the design of the W88, so that it could produce a similar warhead.

Although the "stealing" part is really filthy, we do have the most advanced nuclear warhead design and manufacturing capabilities.

Even so, for China, the lightweight warhead of the W76 is of little significance. The main task of this warhead is to attack enemy nuclear missile silos, using its CEP within 100 meters, and 100,000 tons of warheads are enough to destroy most of the warheads. The silo is gone. But if it is used to attack enemy city targets, it is better to use a "heavy" warhead like W88.

Moreover, according to China's tradition, millions of tons of tens of thousands of tons of ground-explosive warheads are indispensable - the same as the Soviet Union's vision of the year, these warheads have two functions, one is to attack the enemy's key facilities buried deep underground; The other is used to make thousands of tons of radioactive dust scattered in the wind. The geographical environment of the United States determines that this attack is the most deadly effect on the industrial and agricultural base of the United States.

From the above analysis, we can see that China's strategic nuclear weapons are more complicated than the United States and the Soviet Union. The range is far, the delivery weight is large, the penetration capability is better, and the response is quick.

It is precisely because of so much trouble that the United States has long judged that China’s “real” can cover the entire United States is the “20 Dongfeng-5A” missiles. As for Dongfeng-31, perhaps because its range can only cover the West Coast, Washington's lords may really feel that this thing is not afraid of hitting their heads...

In fact, the Dongfeng-31AG has changed this situation. The missile is a single-head design, but the range is enough to reach 12,000 kilometers, which is enough to cover Washington.

Of course, to really have the Dongfeng-41 with 4-5 W88 horizontal nuclear warheads (theoretically, of course, it can carry 10 W76 horizontal light warheads, but it won't do this) is really enough to make Americans feel fear. But Dongfeng-41 we will talk about below.

It can be said that the East-31AG is China's first intercontinental missile that allows opponents to pass the "preemptive strike". Previously, the East-31 and East-31A relied on the "Great Wall Project," and the US military explained to Congress. Use nuclear bombs to attack the Great Wall project entrances and exits and destroy the preset launch positions to prevent them from carrying out attacks.

In other words, we can say that the East-31AG is China's first mobile intercontinental missile that conforms to the provisions of the US-Russia STARTS treaty on intercontinental missile-related provisions (although China certainly will not pay attention to the STARTS treaty).

"The revolution has not been successful, and comrades still need to work hard" - the huge wave of the future

The Julang-2 missile, which debuted in this military parade, was the first submarine-launched ballistic missile with intercontinental range in China. Before it, "Julang 1" was actually a medium-range ballistic missile, its shore-based model. It is Dongfeng-21 with a range of only 2,000 kilometers. Therefore, the Type 092 nuclear submarine at that time could only deter the Soviet Union in the Far East.

And the technology of JuLang-2, many of them are the same as Dongfeng-31, the technical level of the two is quite the same - but to "compress" a missile such as Dongfeng-31, it can not be loaded into 094. In the body, I have to put in 12 rounds, which is still very difficult.

It is precisely because of this that the "Dongfeng-31" missile was successfully developed in the 1990s, and the Julang 2 missile did not have the combat capability until 2014.

However, it is also officially because the design basis of Julang 2 is from Dongfeng-31, and some of its basic technologies are not the most advanced in today's environment. According to the test test, the range of JL 2 is less than 8,000 km (of course, the load will not be informed), it should be said that this is not ideal, even considering the use of W76 horizontal light warhead to minimize throwing weight, Increasing the range to 11,000 kilometers (in fact, can not be doubtful), can only attack the West Coast cities such as San Francisco and Los Angeles from the South China Sea Fortress area, this deterrent is somewhat weak.

JuLang 2 can only say that it can achieve the initial deterrent effect, and there is still a distance from the ideal level.

In the war, 094 should enter the Sea of Japan to launch normal loads to attack the West Coast of the United States, or continue north to the Sea of Okhotsk and borrow the launch positions of Russian nuclear submarines to attack some industrial areas in the Great Lakes.

In this way, the 094 and "Julang 2" are more of a problem for our military to solve the problem of strategic nuclear submarines. Moreover, there is another important consideration here. It is to accumulate experience in the use of our military strategic nuclear submarines. In terms of personnel, tactics, and tactics, we must also test the design and manufacture of nuclear submarines. The design and development of next-generation nuclear submarines is very large. To a certain extent, there must be rich experience in the use of active nuclear submarines to support. On this issue, "not afraid of slowness, I am afraid of stopping." China’s nuclear submarines have received insufficient attention in the middle of the 1990s to the 21st century. Now we are well funded and the state attaches importance to it, although the range of "Julang 2" is barely strong. Some, it can always be considered unsatisfactory, so it is necessary to equip a strategic nuclear submarine force capable of maintaining 1-2 boats on duty at sea.

Of course, this is definitely only a transitional stage. At present, the development of the "Julang 3" missile is going smoothly. This improved missile on the basis of "JuLang 2" will finally have the ability to deter the entire US from the South China Sea Fortress. However, at present, "Julang 3" can only be launched from the special test submarine type 32, and the size of the 094 launch tube cannot be accommodated. This is a bit embarrassing.

Is the future a change to the 094, raising the turtle's back to accommodate the Julang 3 missile, or waiting for the new generation of nuclear submarines 096 that have not yet been designed? This may also be a very interesting issue.

"A thousand protests are not as good as a strategic bomber's wings. It would be better if you took a nuclear missile."

——A type of air-launched remote nuclear guide that has not been revealed in one step
 
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