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China in Talks With Russia to Buy cheap Oil for its Strategic Reserves

SBFNews

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China in Talks With Russia to Buy cheap Oil for its Strategic Reserves

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China is seeking to replenish its strategic crude stockpiles with cheap Russian oil, a sign Beijing is strengthening its energy ties with Moscow just as Europe works toward banning imports due to the war in Ukraine.

Beijing is in discussions with Moscow to buy additional supplies, according to people with knowledge of the plan who asked not to be named as the matter is private. Crude would be used to fill China’s strategic petroleum reserves, and talks are being conducted at a government level with little direct involvement from oil companies, said one person.

Oil has rallied this year following Russia’s invasion of its smaller neighbor, but the price of its own crude has tumbled as buyers step away to avoid damaging their reputation or being swept up in financial sanctions. That’s provided an opportunity for China to cheaply replenish its vast strategic reserves, which are typically tapped during times of emergencies or sudden disruptions.

The US and UK have pledged to ban Russian oil imports and the European Union is discussing similar steps, but crude from the OPEC+ producer is still flowing to willing buyers including India and China. For the Asian nations, the heavily discounted oil is an opportunity too good to pass up, part of the reason why China has continued to take cargoes originating from Iran and Venezuela.

Refiners in China have been quietly buying Russian crude since the invasion, even as a Covid-19 resurgence dents consumption in the world’s biggest crude importer.

China doesn’t publicly disclose the size of its crude inventories, but a number of companies use tools such as satellites to estimate supplies. Some forecast the nation has the capacity to store more than 1 billion barrels of combined commercial and strategic stockpiles.

“There is still room to replenish stocks and it would be a good opportunity for them to do so, if they can be sourced on commercially attractive terms,” said Jane Xie, a senior oil analyst at data and analytics firm Kpler.

Kpler estimates overall stockpiles are at 926.1 million barrels, up from 869 million barrels in mid-March -- but still 6% lower than a record in September 2020. By comparison, the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve has a capacity of 714 million barrels. It currently holds about 538 million barrels.
 

Willamshakespear

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China is an independent & sovereign nation. It has its own problems, 1.3+Billion citizens, & millions worldwide whom had signed their support for China, to feed & appease daily to ensure their support for continued rule. It is no easy task, but sadly, certain financial issues may had been overlooked for its national pride & political sustainability.

RUS currently sells it gas based on its own currency - the ruble. Had China been selling its Yuan to buy RUS gas based on ruble? If so, it will only push up the price of RUS gas for China's next purchase- as the Ruble will rise, & the Yuan fall, as energy stocks do not last, more so if used for domestic purposes & China's energy need for its industrial outputs are huge daily, being known as factory of the World, with the Yuan lowered on the currency exchange market. Who had been fooled?

It's comprehensible for a few impoverished nations that will buy RUS gas at discounted prices today, even if they disregarded HOW the money earned by RUS was use to INVADE innocent nations like UKR & will only embolden RUS for further deadly adventures in the World, even to customers' land one day. Being impoverished, either due to poor management or leadership which led to it, struggling nations seldom will see far into future, except on how to sustain their mistakes in governance for the next day or months, by appeasing its misguided citizens.

But at least, it is hoped that they realize what they are doing - pushing up further the value of the RUS ruble, & as energy stocks will not last but needs constant purchases even daily, that for each delivery, the price of RUS energy will only rise further based upon the currency exchange, & only further weakening of their own national currency, further impoverishing their citizens & national revenues.

Simple explanation Example:-
Today RUS sell its gas at RUB$5,040 Rubles/barrel. ( USD$80) to India. Currency exchange rate of India rupees to rubles - 1 RUB = 1.23Rupee,
India exchanged $6,199 rupees to buy RUB$5,040 for 1 barrel of RUS gas.

Tomorrow, RUS still sell its gas based on contract of RUB $5,040. However the currency exchange rate of India rupees dropped or the RUS ruble had risen. Now 1 RUB = 1.53 Rupee
India now exchanges $7,560 rupees for same amount of RUS gas at the same RUS price the next day.

Extrapolate it to a mere million barrels to find the difference in costs on both days = R1,361,000,000 or ₹1.3Billion rupee loss the next day, or a realization that RUS gas is not as cheap as it seemed.


Would RUS compromise on its currency demand for the sale of its gas? Unlikely, as it needs the exchange rate to help boost its own other commodities export, pay cheaper for its arms tech & hardware imports made & sold by its allies, as well as to keep its citizens appeased with foreign purchases, if any still available while under sanction.

However if RUS would compromise, especially with its critically needed allies such as China, then other buyers of RUS gas should question why the double & unfair treatment & why they should continue to weaken their own currencies to buy RUS gas, when RUS allows some others to not need to do so.
 
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