China could invade Taiwan within the next 18 months, current and former officials familiar with U.S. and allied intelligence told Fox News, suggesting a particularly "dangerous" window between the meeting of the National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party this November and the next U.S. presidential election in 2024.
Two former senior officials told Fox News that the intelligence suggests China sees the potential opportunity for an amphibious assault and military invasion of Taiwan in that time frame.
"We have always had and always been aware that China has an ever-present, ever-evolving plan for an amphibious assault and military invasion of Taiwan. If they are not successful in reunifying politically, then they will do so with force," one former senior intelligence official familiar with U.S. intelligence, and who has discussed intelligence belonging to a U.S. ally in the Indo-Pacific, told Fox News.
"What is different now is, we have intelligence that this has gone from an indefinite, nebulous scenario, to a belief that there is a window of opportunity in the next 18 months," the official continued. "I don’t think that’s a coincidence that window of opportunity is within a Biden administration."
A former senior Trump administration official told Fox News House Speaker Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan is being used as a "pretext" for increased Chinese aggression around Taiwan, but said it is "not the real cause of it," and warned that the "Davidson Window" is "closing."
Former commander of American forces in the Indo-Pacific Adm. Philip Davison testified last year that China could invade Taiwan within the next six years—by 2027.
"The window is now between the Party Congress and the next U.S. presidential election," the official said noting that window could close by January 2025—at the end of the presidential transition period. "I think we are in a very dangerous two-year window right now."
More at https://shrtcô.de/5yujxN
Two former senior officials told Fox News that the intelligence suggests China sees the potential opportunity for an amphibious assault and military invasion of Taiwan in that time frame.
"We have always had and always been aware that China has an ever-present, ever-evolving plan for an amphibious assault and military invasion of Taiwan. If they are not successful in reunifying politically, then they will do so with force," one former senior intelligence official familiar with U.S. intelligence, and who has discussed intelligence belonging to a U.S. ally in the Indo-Pacific, told Fox News.
"What is different now is, we have intelligence that this has gone from an indefinite, nebulous scenario, to a belief that there is a window of opportunity in the next 18 months," the official continued. "I don’t think that’s a coincidence that window of opportunity is within a Biden administration."
A former senior Trump administration official told Fox News House Speaker Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan is being used as a "pretext" for increased Chinese aggression around Taiwan, but said it is "not the real cause of it," and warned that the "Davidson Window" is "closing."
Former commander of American forces in the Indo-Pacific Adm. Philip Davison testified last year that China could invade Taiwan within the next six years—by 2027.
"The window is now between the Party Congress and the next U.S. presidential election," the official said noting that window could close by January 2025—at the end of the presidential transition period. "I think we are in a very dangerous two-year window right now."
More at https://shrtcô.de/5yujxN
