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Coffee Shop Talk - Migrant workers cut adrift; come to SG?</TD><TD id=msgunetc noWrap align=right>
Subscribe </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE class=msgtable cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="96%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=msg vAlign=top><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=msghead><TD class=msgbfr1 width="1%"> </TD><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR class=msghead><TD class=msgF noWrap align=right width="1%">From: </TD><TD class=msgFname noWrap width="68%">news155sg <NOBR></NOBR> </TD><TD class=msgDate noWrap align=right width="30%">10:07 pm </TD></TR><TR class=msghead><TD class=msgT noWrap align=right width="1%" height=20>To: </TD><TD class=msgTname noWrap width="68%">ALL <NOBR></NOBR></TD><TD class=msgNum noWrap align=right> (1 of 1) </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD class=msgleft width="1%" rowSpan=4> </TD><TD class=wintiny noWrap align=right>13201.1 </TD></TR><TR><TD height=8></TD></TR><TR><TD class=msgtxt>Migrant workers cut adrift
Experts warn the problem could spike as more of China's estimated 200 million rural migrant workers lose their jobs. -- PHOTO: AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
TONGAN - AS THE global financial crisis squeezes once-thriving Chinese manufacturing regions, the fate of people like Mr Xue Fengqiao looks to figure ever higher on the Chinese leadership's agenda.
Mr Xue, 24, and his fiancee migrated from poor Shanxi province to coastal Fujian 14 months ago, dreaming of amassing a nest egg by working factory jobs.
But both were laid off last month, joining the swelling ranks of Chinese workers cut adrift by the crisis, and who now pose a looming stability problem for China's leaders.
'We really don't know what to do. We can't go home but there are fewer jobs here and they don't pay enough,' said Mr Xue, sitting dejectedly in a government jobs centre crowded with anxious unemployed workers.
Mr Xue was let go by a machinery factory in this industrial town as foreign orders dried up.
'It's even worse in other places. Everyone we know is desperate,' he said.
China's ruling Communist Party already grapples with thousands of violent public outbursts each year by marginalised people in society.
And experts warn the problem could spike as more of China's estimated 200 million rural migrant workers lose their jobs.
Layoffs had already been growing as Chinese manufacturers retooled in recent years for higher-value products, said Ms Constance Thomas, the International Labour Organisation's China (ILO) director.
But the ILO expects 'at least several million' new jobless due to the global crisis.
'That has to be any leader's greatest fear - to have a large percentage of their population unemployed, without income, without security. Clearly, measures have to be taken to ensure that doesn't happen,' Ms Thomas said.
An estimated 30 million workers lost jobs from 1996-2004 as the government restructured state-owned companies, causing widespread protests and contributing to the masses of migrant workers today.
This time, authorities have even less control over the process, said Professor Willy Lam, a veteran China-watcher at the Chinese University of Hong Kong.
'Last time, the government could slow down layoffs if needed. But now global forces are at work. The leadership is very worried,' he said.
The government this month announced a US$586 million (S$900 million) package to counter the export pain with infrastructure and other projects that will create jobs.
The trouble has been most acute in southern Guangdong province, China's manufacturing heartland, where one-fifth of factories in major cities are expected to close by January alone, according to industry estimates.
Thousands of workers have gathered outside shuttered factories there, demanding unpaid wages, forcing local authorities to intervene.
But the pain is now spreading up the coast to places such as Tongan.
Mr Gao Fengxiang, 42, came from central China's Hunan province in February to a factory job here.
Three weeks ago he was laid off and his employer and government officials have denied him required unemployment and medical insurance, he said.
'We have been cheated. They lied to us,' Mr Gao said, his voice rising in the Tongan labour office as fellow migrants murmured in agreement.
The shabby office is packed with jobless workers checking job advertisements offering 1,200 yuan to 2,500 yuan (about S$266 to S$562) - about 50 per cent less than earlier this year, Mr Gao said.
'None of the jobs pay enough. We're abandoned,' he said.
The ILO's Ms Thomas said China was ramping up re-training programmes and addressing holes in the social safety net. She expects big infrastructure projects to absorb many workers soon.
But far more is needed, given the problem's scale, she said.
Meanwhile, many workers are giving up and heading home, according to statistics showing increased rail traffic from manufacturing regions.
Prof Lam called that 'disturbing'.
'This hasn't happened before. After they return to Sichuan, Hunan, Hubei or wherever, they are unlikely to find work there. So we may see more rural disturbances,' he said. -- AFP
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Experts warn the problem could spike as more of China's estimated 200 million rural migrant workers lose their jobs. -- PHOTO: AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
TONGAN - AS THE global financial crisis squeezes once-thriving Chinese manufacturing regions, the fate of people like Mr Xue Fengqiao looks to figure ever higher on the Chinese leadership's agenda.
Mr Xue, 24, and his fiancee migrated from poor Shanxi province to coastal Fujian 14 months ago, dreaming of amassing a nest egg by working factory jobs.
But both were laid off last month, joining the swelling ranks of Chinese workers cut adrift by the crisis, and who now pose a looming stability problem for China's leaders.
'We really don't know what to do. We can't go home but there are fewer jobs here and they don't pay enough,' said Mr Xue, sitting dejectedly in a government jobs centre crowded with anxious unemployed workers.
Mr Xue was let go by a machinery factory in this industrial town as foreign orders dried up.
'It's even worse in other places. Everyone we know is desperate,' he said.
China's ruling Communist Party already grapples with thousands of violent public outbursts each year by marginalised people in society.
And experts warn the problem could spike as more of China's estimated 200 million rural migrant workers lose their jobs.
Layoffs had already been growing as Chinese manufacturers retooled in recent years for higher-value products, said Ms Constance Thomas, the International Labour Organisation's China (ILO) director.
But the ILO expects 'at least several million' new jobless due to the global crisis.
'That has to be any leader's greatest fear - to have a large percentage of their population unemployed, without income, without security. Clearly, measures have to be taken to ensure that doesn't happen,' Ms Thomas said.
An estimated 30 million workers lost jobs from 1996-2004 as the government restructured state-owned companies, causing widespread protests and contributing to the masses of migrant workers today.
This time, authorities have even less control over the process, said Professor Willy Lam, a veteran China-watcher at the Chinese University of Hong Kong.
'Last time, the government could slow down layoffs if needed. But now global forces are at work. The leadership is very worried,' he said.
The government this month announced a US$586 million (S$900 million) package to counter the export pain with infrastructure and other projects that will create jobs.
The trouble has been most acute in southern Guangdong province, China's manufacturing heartland, where one-fifth of factories in major cities are expected to close by January alone, according to industry estimates.
Thousands of workers have gathered outside shuttered factories there, demanding unpaid wages, forcing local authorities to intervene.
But the pain is now spreading up the coast to places such as Tongan.
Mr Gao Fengxiang, 42, came from central China's Hunan province in February to a factory job here.
Three weeks ago he was laid off and his employer and government officials have denied him required unemployment and medical insurance, he said.
'We have been cheated. They lied to us,' Mr Gao said, his voice rising in the Tongan labour office as fellow migrants murmured in agreement.
The shabby office is packed with jobless workers checking job advertisements offering 1,200 yuan to 2,500 yuan (about S$266 to S$562) - about 50 per cent less than earlier this year, Mr Gao said.
'None of the jobs pay enough. We're abandoned,' he said.
The ILO's Ms Thomas said China was ramping up re-training programmes and addressing holes in the social safety net. She expects big infrastructure projects to absorb many workers soon.
But far more is needed, given the problem's scale, she said.
Meanwhile, many workers are giving up and heading home, according to statistics showing increased rail traffic from manufacturing regions.
Prof Lam called that 'disturbing'.
'This hasn't happened before. After they return to Sichuan, Hunan, Hubei or wherever, they are unlikely to find work there. So we may see more rural disturbances,' he said. -- AFP
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