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10GB一毛钱? 未来普通人吃不吃得消5G收费

2019年06月10日 05:37 中关村在线








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4G的收费模式大家都很熟悉了,按照流量来计算,1GB多少钱这样的模式。未来5G应用之后,还会按照这样的收费模式来计算吗?
网上有消息称,未来可能10GB可能只要1毛钱就可以,笔者认为这是大的趋势,但是短时间内达到这样便宜的收费是不可能的。毕竟运营商也要利润,目前5G仅仅是布局的前夜,4G过渡到5G的是时间维度还难以预判。总体来看4G的应用仍将维持较长的时间,这个时间段内不能贸然地大幅降低收费费用。
d598-hyeztys2029357.jpg
5G和4G还会并存很久
不过国家一直强调网速提升,费用下降,因此4G流量收费的下降趋势是不可逆的。但是升级5G之后,可能5G更多是作为一种升级服务来提供给普通消费者,它的收费可能会比较贵。
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4G自费套餐的的模式
5G最大的特点是带宽大,速度快,因此未来5G的流量一定是非常大的。现在大家按照GB来计算收费,未来很可能按照TB来进行收费,毕竟速度快了,流量消耗的速度也是成本增长的。比如之前3G时代的时候,很多套餐都是几百M,如今已经很难见到这样的套餐了。因此未来以TB为单位的套餐可能是常见模式。
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信号发射塔成本很高 目前无法大规模推行低价5G套餐
但是这样的模式也将难以满足消费者日益增长的联网需求,未来一定是无限量套餐的时代,比如百元无限上网这样,目前其实也有这样的套餐了,但是20GB或者40GB后会进行降速,因此不能算真正意义上的无限制套餐。随着5G的布局,未来真正的无限制套餐将大行其道,但是其套餐费用可能不会太低。毕竟如果太低的话,所有人一窝蜂的使用流量,可能信号发射台吃不消。
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5G商用前景光明
以上运行商对于个人收费模式变化的一个预测。5G时代还有一个特别大的变化就是运营商将极为关注对于商务应用的开发,也就是大家常说的2B业务。目前运行商也有2B业务,但是相比于个人仅仅是带宽的不同,比如企业可能使用10M光纤等等,未来5G的业务可能会提供连接量/时延等级/速率等级方面的保障,比如针对发布会直播,娱乐综艺直播,VR/AR行业或者远程会议等等。
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未来5G收费模式将呈现多样化的趋势
针对这些行业应用,5G以信号模式的优势,摆脱传统线材的束缚,同时提供高质量的网络连接模式,这是4G时代无法完成的变革。4G目前还无法满足大型场合的网络布局,很多互动依旧拉线连接路由器的方式来布局网络,这样的模式效率很低。而5G以超大的带宽,足以满足多种场合的网络需求。
因此5G的收费模式未来将蜕变为个人模式和行业模式,个人收费不会太低,毕竟一般需求4G可以满足,而5G作为升级服务,很长一段时间内是作为高端服务来收费的,只有5G布局特别充分的时候,5G才可以替代4G逐渐开发低价无限制套餐的模式,那时候也是4G逐渐退出历史舞台的时候;行业模式则是拥有多元化的收费模式,流量肯定不是一个特别重要的维度,重要的维度是稳定,及时,无延迟以及易接入等。




10GB a dime? In the future, ordinary people can eat and eat 5G charges.
June 10, 2019 05:37 Zhongguancun Online

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4G's charging model is very familiar to everyone, according to the flow to calculate, 1GB how much money. After the future 5G application, will it be calculated according to such a charging model?

There is news on the Internet that in the future, 10GB may be as long as 1 cent. The author thinks this is a big trend, but it is impossible to achieve such a cheap charge in a short time. After all, operators have to make profits. At present, 5G is only the eve of the layout. The transition from 4G to 5G is difficult to predict. Overall, the application of 4G will still last for a long time, and it is not possible to drastically reduce the fees and charges during this period.
5G and 4G will coexist for a long time. 5G and 4G will coexist for a long time.

However, the country has always stressed that the speed of the network is increasing and the cost is decreasing. Therefore, the downward trend of 4G traffic charges is irreversible. However, after upgrading 5G, it may be that 5G is provided as an upgrade service to ordinary consumers, and its charges may be more expensive.
Mode of 4G self-funded package mode of 4G self-funded package

The biggest feature of 5G is that the bandwidth is large and the speed is fast, so the traffic of 5G in the future must be very large. Now everyone calculates the charges according to GB. In the future, it is very likely to charge according to TB. After all, the speed is fast, and the speed of traffic consumption is also the cost increase. For example, in the previous 3G era, many packages were a few hundred meters, and it is now difficult to see such a package. Therefore, future TB-based packages may be a common model.
The cost of the signal transmission tower is very high. It is impossible to implement the low-cost 5G package signal transmission tower at a high cost. It is currently impossible to implement the low-cost 5G package on a large scale.

However, such a model will also be difficult to meet the growing networking needs of consumers. The future must be an era of unlimited packages. For example, 100 yuan unlimited Internet access, there are actually such packages, but 20GB or 40GB will slow down. Therefore, it cannot be considered an unrestricted package in the true sense. With the 5G layout, the real unrestricted package will be popular in the future, but the package fee may not be too low. After all, if it is too low, the flow of traffic by everyone can be overwhelmed by the signal launcher.
5G commercial prospects bright 5G commercial prospects bright

The above operator has a forecast of changes in the personal charging model. Another big change in the 5G era is that operators will pay great attention to the development of business applications, which is what people often say about 2B services. At present, operators also have 2B services, but compared to individuals, only the bandwidth is different, for example, enterprises may use 10M fiber, etc., and the future 5G services may provide connection/delay level/rate level protection, such as for release. Live broadcast, entertainment variety live, VR/AR industry or teleconference and more.
The future 5G charging model will present a diversified trend. The future 5G charging model will present a diversified trend.

For these industrial applications, 5G takes advantage of the signal mode, gets rid of the shackles of traditional wires, and provides a high-quality network connection mode, which is a change that cannot be completed in the 4G era. 4G is currently unable to meet the network layout of large-scale occasions, and many interactions still connect the routers to lay out the network. This mode is very inefficient. And 5G with a large bandwidth, enough to meet the network needs of a variety of occasions.

Therefore, the 5G charging model will be transformed into a personal model and an industry model in the future. Personal charges will not be too low. After all, 4G can be met, and 5G is used as an upgrade service. For a long time, it is charged as a high-end service, only 5G. When the layout is particularly adequate, 5G can replace 4G's mode of gradually developing low-cost unlimited packages. At that time, 4G gradually withdraws from the historical stage; the industry model has a diversified charging model, and traffic is definitely not a particularly important one. Dimensions, important dimensions are stability, timely, no delay, and easy access.
 
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