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1 in 4 (300 millions) Indians could have been infected with the coronavirus

bart12

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https://www.asiaone.com/asia/1-4-indians-could-have-been-infected-coronavirus-lab-head-says

1 in 4 Indians could have been infected with the coronavirus, lab head says

August 19, 2020published at 6:21 PMReuters

MUMBAI - At least one in four people in India may have been infected with the coronavirus - a much higher number than official government figures suggest, the head of a leading private laboratory says.

Dr A. Velumani said an analysis of 270,000 antibody tests conducted by his company, Thyrocare, across India showed the presence of antibodies in an average of 26 per cent of the people, indicating they had already been exposed to the coronavirus.

"This is a much higher percentage than we had expected. The presence of antibodies is uniform across all age groups, including children," Dr Velumani told Reuters.

Thyrocare's findings are in line with government surveys done in Indian cities such as Mumbai, which showed that 57 per cent of the population in its crowded slum areas had been exposed to the coronavirus.

The Thyrocare survey covered paid and tested patients across 600 cities in India for the last seven weeks, Dr Velumani added.

If the current trend continues, the percentage of India's population having antibodies may reach 40 per cent before the end of December.

India currently has a total of 2.8 million cases, third only behind Brazil and the United States globally, but active patients are less than a fourth of its total caseload, according to Health Ministry figures.

On Wednesday, the world's second-most populous country reported more than 64,000 new cases of the novel coronavirus in a single day, with more than 1,000 deaths in the same period.
 
That's really good news it means that the disease will burn itself out very quickly.

It also shows just how mild Covid-19 is in the vast majority of those infected. Most have no symptoms at all.

If 25% of India has been infected that's 1,300,000,000/4 = 325,000,000.

The death toll so far is 50,000

50,000/325,000,000 x 100 = 0.015% infection mortality rate which makes it way less serious than influenza which typically kills 0.04% to 0.08% of those infected.

Even if another 150,000 die by the time the pandemic is over it still does not make Covid-19 any worse than the flu.
 
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You might need wear a biohazard suit to enter Mustafa Centre. :biggrin:
 
Let's welcum more CECA Ah Nehs to SG...
 
Let's welcum more CECA Ah Nehs to SG...

If 1 in 4 have been infected they are probably the safest people to admit because there will be the largest proportion if immune individuals in the Indian subcontinent.
 
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