The most-cited downside risk to Singapore’s growth outlook was spillovers from an external growth slowdown, flagged by 68.8 per cent of respondents, more than in the previous poll. It was indicated as the top risk by 25 per cent of those surveyed.
China surfaced as one of the top downside risks in the latest survey. “This is unsurprising to us, given China’s bumpy recovery and waning post-reopening growth momentum, and its importance to Singapore as a key export destination and tourism source,” said DBS’ Chua.
China’s reopening, better-than-expected external growth and the tech cycle recovery – remained the top upside risks cited in the survey.
However, fewer now see a chance of an unexpected boost from China: 46.7 per cent, down from 70.6 per cent in the preceding survey.
Ling also noted the paring back of respondents citing the tech-cycle as an upside risk, down to 33.3 per cent from 41.2 per cent. This comes “as US-China rivalry continues for chip dominance”, she said, adding: “Maybe we have to wait and see if the upcoming launch of iPhone 15 helps to reignite consumer demand.”
China surfaced as one of the top downside risks in the latest survey. “This is unsurprising to us, given China’s bumpy recovery and waning post-reopening growth momentum, and its importance to Singapore as a key export destination and tourism source,” said DBS’ Chua.
China’s reopening, better-than-expected external growth and the tech cycle recovery – remained the top upside risks cited in the survey.
However, fewer now see a chance of an unexpected boost from China: 46.7 per cent, down from 70.6 per cent in the preceding survey.
Ling also noted the paring back of respondents citing the tech-cycle as an upside risk, down to 33.3 per cent from 41.2 per cent. This comes “as US-China rivalry continues for chip dominance”, she said, adding: “Maybe we have to wait and see if the upcoming launch of iPhone 15 helps to reignite consumer demand.”