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China's matchmaking mums have a powerful ally: The Party

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www.bbc.com

China's matchmaking mums have a powerful ally: The Party​


A woman crosses a road before posing for wedding photos in Beijing on May 5, 2023.
Image source, Getty Images
Image caption,
Young Chinese are turning away from traditional choices like marriage and children


Chen has been on more than 20 blind dates, all set up by her mother.

Some of the dates have been worse than others, she says, because she has a condition that most men she meets seem unable to accept - she doesn't want children.

"Having babies is very tiring and I don't like babies," says Chen, who's in her late 20s and only wanted to share her last name. "But it's impossible to find a man who doesn't want children. For a man not to have children… It's like killing him."

Despite the string of unsuccessful dates, the pressure to marry has not eased. It's making her nearly "explode", she says.

It is not just Chen's parents who want her to marry and have children. As marriage and birth rates plummet, the Chinese Communist Party is encouraging millions of young women and men to reverse the trend.

Last year, China's population fell for the first time in 60 years, and its fertility rate dropped to a record low. The number of registered marriages, too, hasn't been this low - 6.83 million - since 1986.

Disheartened by a slowing economy and rising unemployment, young Chinese are also turning away from the traditional choices their parents made. The result is a headache for the Party and far from the "national rejuvenation" the country's leader Xi Jinping has called for.

Officials 'don't get the pain'​

The concern has reached Mr Xi, who recently gave a speech on the need to "cultivate a new culture of marriage and childbearing". He also spoke of "strengthening guidance" to shape young people's view on marriage, children and family.

It's not that Chinese officials have not been trying.

Across the country, bureaucrats have been mobilised to incentivise young people to get married, and for couples to stay married and have children.
Earlier this year, a small town in the eastern Zhejiang province announced that it would offer couples 1,000 yuan ($137; £108) as a "reward" if the bride was 25 years or younger. It stunned and then angered locals, who called the local government tone-deaf for assuming that such a small amount of money could have an impact on such a major decision.

Elsewhere, officials insisted on a "30-day cooling-off period" for couples seeking separation or divorce. This led to concerns about how this would restrict personal choices, and harm women who face domestic violence.

A woman walks past wedding dresses displayed in a Vera Wang bridal store in Beijing on April 22, 2020.
Image source, Getty Images
Image caption,
The number of marriages in China dropped last year to their lowest since records began

In rural areas, where more and more single men are struggling to find a bride, authorities have ordered women to stop asking for high bride prices.

Like other "incentives", this one won't work either, says economist Li Jingkui.

Even without bride prices, men are still competing for a bride, he says. "There could be other ways to compete: like houses, cars or just better looks."

Experts say the overwhelmingly male Chinese leadership cannot possibly understand what's driving these choices for young people, especially women.
China's highest decision-making group, the Party's seven-member Politburo Standing Committee, has only comprised men for decades. The leadership rung just below it - which has more than 20 seats - included a lone woman for the last two decades until last October. Now there are no women in it.

The efforts of these men, and all the men below them, are often seen as out-of-touch and even superficial, often attracting ridicule online.

"The officials in the government basically all have wives," says Mr Li. "They don't get this pain."

Experts believe China's singles population is made up of two unmatchable groups - urban women and rural men.

Rural men are battling economic expectations, such as high bride prices and a secure job that can support a family. And this, in turn, seems to be empowering women in rural areas to take more time in choosing a partner.

"When I went home for Chinese New Year, I felt awesome being a woman in rural China's marriage market," says 28-year-old Cathy Tian who works in Shanghai.

She says she was worried she would be considered "a bit old" in northern Anhui province, where women usually get married by the time they turn 22. But she found the opposite to be true.
"I don't need to provide anything but the man needs to have a house, a car, an engagement ceremony as well as pay a bride price. I felt like I'm at the top of this marriage market."

A family enjoyed the illuminated lanterns to celebrate the Lantern Festival on February 5, 2023 in Shanghai, China.
Image source, Getty Images
Image caption,
Young women say having a child is no longer a task - it's a choice

Urban women, on the other hand, say what troubles them is the widening gap between how they view marriage, and how the rest of society views it.

"There is no anxiety inside of me," says Chen. "My anxiety comes from outside."

Unlike her parents' generation, when life was a challenge and love was a luxury, people and women have more options now, she says.

"Our idea now is it's okay to not have babies, and it's no longer a task we must complete."
Women also note that like the world around them, the government's campaigns focus on women and overlook men's responsibilities as partners.

And the unequal expectations are driving them away from the idea of becoming a parent.

Chen says this is also part of the reason she doesn't want children - watching her friend be a parent. "Her second child is very naughty. I really feel that every time I go to her house, it will explode and the ceiling will be torn down."

A family takes photos as they and others visit a section of the Great Wall during the National Golden Week holiday on October 2, 2023 in Beijing,
Image source, Getty Images
Image caption,
Young unmarried women say they fear the unequal burden of parenting

In China, "raising your kids as if your spouse has died" has become a common phrase among young mothers. It means husbands are not doing chores or sharing the job of being a parent.

"All the married men I know think their responsibility in the family is just to earn money," says a 33-year-old data scientist who did not want to reveal her name.
"Mothers feel guilty for not being with their children, they even think it's not alright to stay out late. But the fathers never have such guilt."

But the Party has shown no indication that inequality and changing expectations are among the challenges they must counter to lift marriage or birth rates.

And young Chinese are making it clear that they will not be wooed so easily by officials.

When talking about the social pressures they face, they often repeat a slogan popularised during Shanghai's crippling and controversial Covid lockdown.

They were words used by a young man arguing with officials against tough restrictions: "We are the last generation."
 

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China’s dystopian population goals: forced procreation and ‘industrialized births’

thehill.com

Editor’s note: This piece was updated to correct population estimates. We regret the error.

This month, China’s government began a nationwide poll of 500,000 urban and rural households to learn more about population trends. The survey, coming soon after China’s “once-in-a-decade” 2020 census, was, in the words of Reuters, “unexpected.”

China’s leaders look like they are now panicking over population decline. Will they force couples to procreate? Or will they industrialize the process of procreation?

The population survey came just days after Chinese leadership tried to talk up births. Xi Jinping, in remarks published by the official Xinhua News Agency on Oct. 30, told women to start a “new trend of family.”

Linking “family harmony, social harmony, national development, and national progress,” he said it is necessary to “actively cultivate a new culture of marriage and childbearing and strengthen guidance on young people’s view on marriage, childbirth and family.”

To Xi’s point, something has to be done. Beijing reported that last year the country’s population fell by 850,000 people, the first decline since 1961, the final year of the Great Famine. In that famine, tens of millions of people perished as a result of Mao Zedong’s Great Leap Forward. The Global Times, a semi-official Communist Party newspaper, even maintains the population drop is the first in “recorded history.”

The country’s total population in 2022, the official National Bureau of Statistics announced, was 1.4 billion. The United Nations’ World Population Prospects 2022 suggests that China could have a population of far less than 800 million by 2100, with a low variant estimate of 488 million.

Even this low number could be far too high. Demographers from Xi’an Jiaotong University in late 2021 estimated that China’s population could fall by half within 45 years, assuming the country maintained a total fertility rate — generally the average number of children per female of child-bearing age — of 1.3.
China’s total 2022 fertility rate was lower: 1.18.

So, when the clock strikes 2100, China’s population could be a third of what it is today.
In response, the Chinese government abandoned its notorious one-child policy at the end of 2015. The country adopted a two-child policy beginning in 2016 and a three-child policy in the spring of 2021.

The country could have gone to a 20-child policy but that would not have made a difference. In fact, last year witnessed the lowest birth rate in the history of the People’s Republic of China.

The Chinese people, for various social and other reasons, are not enthusiastic about reproducing. First, there is the universal decline in fertility rates that has been seen for centuries in high-income countries. Moreover, China’s draconian population policies, put in place in the 1970s and bolstered by relentless indoctrination, have instilled anti-natalist values in the country. Economic decline has also been affecting the willingness of couples to bear children.

The mood across China is dark. “In this country, to love your child is to never let him be born in the first place,” wrote one commenter on a Chinese social media site last year.
In response, the central government is vowing, in Communist Party-speak, “to integrate high-quality population development with higher living standards, further optimizing relevant policies.” Among birth-promotion proposals publicized by the Global Times is “overthrowing extravagant and excessive wedding ceremonies.”

The Communist Party, however, is considering far more coercive policies. Since the first years of communism in China, the regime has been monitoring menstrual cycles, and a decade ago it began stepping up such efforts. Moreover, lower-tier governments are exacting penalties. For instance, in 2017, after the relaxation of the one-child policy, some localities required payment of a deposit on marriage with the funds returned only after the birth of a second child.

Furthermore, Chinese officials have been thinking out loud about forced procreation.
“We should make sure our policy and system allow our children to give birth to two children,” said Mei Zhiqiang, deputy director of the Family Planning Commission in Shanxi province, to a Chinese news site in February 2015, before the adoption of the two-child policy. “And they must have two children.”

“We already know how communist pro-natalism works,” Susan Yoshihara, president of the Washington, D.C.-based American Council on Women Peace and Security, told me last week.

“Xi already has the intrusive family planning apparatus to apply coercive tactics like heavy fines, harassment and monitoring women’s pregnancies until birth. If overburdened Chinese parents cannot cope, Xi has orphanages to raise abandoned
children.”

Xi Jinping will undoubtedly use the nationwide social credit system being put in place, so, in all probability, it will not be long before births are necessary to achieve high scores. In any event, Xi has been imposing totalitarian social controls, so he will eventually fall back on dictatorial solutions, especially as his initial pro-birth efforts fail.

“Coercion is in the DNA of the [Chinese Communist Party],” Reggie Littlejohn, president of Women’s Rights Without Frontiers, wrote to me this month. “When persuasion fails, coercion often follows.”

If coercion does not work, there is one more step the Communist Party could take.
“Sooner or later, reproduction will be an industrialized process, it’s the only way to maintain a healthy birthrate,” Zhao DaShuai of the People’s Armed Police Propaganda Bureau wrote on X this August, posted with an image of a human fetus growing inside a machine.

“The key is to make it state run, ensuring absolute equality in this procedure.”
Chinese researcher He Jiankui created the world’s first gene-edited humans, so China has already taken steps that could someday support the industrialization of procreation. Only time will tell where the next steps will take them.

Gordon G. Chang is the author of “The Coming Collapse of China” and the just-released “China Is Going to War.” Follow him on X, formerly Twitter, @GordonGChang.
 
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